Underdog
Network

2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings Per Analytics (Defense)

Apr 22nd 2022

Hayden Winks

The offense version of this column is here.

My analytics only 2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings are just that -- the results of what my model spits out at me. I have my personal RB and WR rankings after watching their film. But this process is at least interesting and at best actionable.

My model takes projected draft capital (essentially a film grade), age, college production, team strength, and athleticism to create an NFL projection. I then compare that projection to all drafted players since 2005 at that position to create prospect percentiles. The best prospects will have a 100th percentile score. Bad prospects will have 5th percentile scores. 50th percentile is average obviously. The best prospects in my model often hit the following:

  • Projected to go early in the draft

  • Are 20 or 21 years old with a bonus for early declares

  • Played on elite college teams and were 4- or 5-star recruits

  • Were very productive players in their final season

  • Were early producers if they didn't go to elite football programs

  • Tested well at the Combine

In this column, you'll see two primary metrics: 1) "Adjusted Production" is a combination of the most predictive on-field stats, college team strength, and age, so an older prospect who had more yards at a bad school very well could have a lower adjusted production score compared to a younger prospect on a good team. That's because the latter is more predictive of NFL success. ... 2) "Adjusted SPARQ Athleticism" is an all-encompassing workout score, but unlike other athletic measurables, this one is specific to each position. This is key because the athleticism required at CB is far different than it is at DT. I even have split RB and WR into two different models because small RBs typically are used out in space as pass-catchers and big RBs are asked to run up the middle. Ditto for small and big WRs.

In general, the most predictive stat is draft capital, followed by adjusted production and then adjusted SPARQ athleticism.

2022 DT Prospect Rankings

2022 DT Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Jordan Davis
College
Georgia
Age
22.29
Model
0.94
Draft Capital
0.93
Adj. Production
0.24
TFLs Per Game
0.12
Team Strenght
0.97
Adj. SPARQ
1
Forty
0.97
Three Cone
Weight
0.96
Rank
2
Player
DeMarvin Leal
College
Texas A&M
Age
21.83
Model
0.85
Draft Capital
0.79
Adj. Production
0.97
TFLs Per Game
0.87
Team Strenght
0.61
Adj. SPARQ
0.44
Forty
0.72
Three Cone
0.97
Weight
0.03
Rank
3
Player
Perrion Winfrey
College
Oklahoma
Age
21.7
Model
0.78
Draft Capital
0.77
Adj. Production
0.77
TFLs Per Game
0.76
Team Strenght
0.65
Adj. SPARQ
0.69
Forty
0.88
Three Cone
Weight
0.09
Rank
4
Player
Devonte Wyatt
College
Georgia
Age
24.08
Model
0.73
Draft Capital
0.9
Adj. Production
0.06
TFLs Per Game
0.28
Team Strenght
0.97
Adj. SPARQ
0.93
Forty
0.98
Three Cone
0.78
Weight
0.4
Rank
5
Player
Travis Jones
College
Connecticut
Age
22.54
Model
0.68
Draft Capital
0.81
Adj. Production
0.16
TFLs Per Game
0.41
Team Strenght
0.08
Adj. SPARQ
0.98
Forty
0.85
Three Cone
0.91
Weight
0.84
Rank
6
Player
Otito Ogbonnia
College
UCLA
Age
21.68
Model
0.43
Draft Capital
0.47
Adj. Production
0.75
TFLs Per Game
0.18
Team Strenght
0.49
Adj. SPARQ
0.19
Forty
0.1
Three Cone
Weight
0.83
Rank
7
Player
Phidarian Mathis
College
Alabama
Age
24.01
Model
0.33
Draft Capital
0.72
Adj. Production
0.24
TFLs Per Game
0.49
Team Strenght
0.89
Adj. SPARQ
0.1
Forty
Three Cone
Weight
0.62
Rank
8
Player
Thomas Booker
College
Stanford
Age
22.46
Model
0.3
Draft Capital
0.24
Adj. Production
0.33
TFLs Per Game
0.16
Team Strenght
0.13
Adj. SPARQ
0.82
Forty
0.81
Three Cone
0.91
Weight
0.3
Rank
9
Player
Eyioma Uwazurike
College
Iowa State
Age
23.98
Model
0.3
Draft Capital
0.25
Adj. Production
0.5
TFLs Per Game
0.71
Team Strenght
0.56
Adj. SPARQ
0.57
Forty
0.08
Three Cone
0.64
Weight
0.73
Rank
10
Player
Jayden Peevy
College
Texas A&M
Age
22.65
Model
0.29
Draft Capital
0.22
Adj. Production
0.65
TFLs Per Game
0.36
Team Strenght
0.61
Adj. SPARQ
0.3
Forty
0.12
Three Cone
Weight
0.54
Rank
11
Player
Haskell Garrett
College
Ohio State
Age
23.98
Model
0.28
Draft Capital
0.47
Adj. Production
0.41
TFLs Per Game
0.42
Team Strenght
0.89
Adj. SPARQ
0.3
Forty
0.49
Three Cone
0.45
Weight
0.27
Rank
12
Player
Matthew Butler
College
Tennessee
Age
22.88
Model
0.23
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.28
TFLs Per Game
0.4
Team Strenght
0.52
Adj. SPARQ
0.4
Forty
0.72
Three Cone
0.26
Weight
0.2
Rank
13
Player
Chris Hinton
College
Michigan
Age
21.62
Model
0.22
Draft Capital
0.11
Adj. Production
0.69
TFLs Per Game
0
Team Strenght
0.9
Adj. SPARQ
0.12
Forty
0.13
Three Cone
0.23
Weight
0.44
Rank
14
Player
Kalia Davis
College
UCF
Age
23.57
Model
0.2
Draft Capital
0.36
Adj. Production
0.32
TFLs Per Game
0.48
Team Strenght
0.31
Adj. SPARQ
Forty
Three Cone
Weight
0.33
Rank
15
Player
Neil Farrell
College
LSU
Age
23.64
Model
0.17
Draft Capital
0.4
Adj. Production
0.57
TFLs Per Game
0.55
Team Strenght
0.37
Adj. SPARQ
0.02
Forty
0.04
Three Cone
0
Weight
0.89
Rank
16
Player
Jordan Jackson
College
Air Force
Age
24.24
Model
0.16
Draft Capital
0.03
Adj. Production
0.15
TFLs Per Game
0.69
Team Strenght
0.54
Adj. SPARQ
0.8
Forty
0.81
Three Cone
0.97
Weight
0.16
Rank
17
Player
D.J. Davidson
College
Arizona State
Age
24.61
Model
0.09
Draft Capital
0.03
Adj. Production
0.35
TFLs Per Game
0.21
Team Strenght
0.45
Adj. SPARQ
0.26
Forty
0.22
Three Cone
0.3
Weight
0.85
Rank
18
Player
John Ridgeway
College
Arkansas
Age
22.98
Model
0.08
Draft Capital
0.34
Adj. Production
0.14
TFLs Per Game
0.13
Team Strenght
0.64
Adj. SPARQ
0.24
Forty
0.12
Three Cone
0.23
Weight
0.8
Rank
19
Player
Marquan McCall
College
Kentucky
Age
23.09
Model
0.03
Draft Capital
0.14
Adj. Production
0.05
TFLs Per Game
0.21
Team Strenght
0.54
Adj. SPARQ
0.06
Forty
0.04
Three Cone
Weight
0.96
Rank
20
Player
Jonathan Ford
College
Miami (FL)
Age
23.58
Model
0.03
Draft Capital
0.03
Adj. Production
0.02
TFLs Per Game
0.02
Team Strenght
0.38
Adj. SPARQ
0.32
Forty
0.02
Three Cone
Weight
0.91
Rank
21
Player
LaBryan Ray
College
Alabama
Age
24.4
Model
0.01
Draft Capital
0.33
Adj. Production
0
TFLs Per Game
0.05
Team Strenght
0.89
Adj. SPARQ
0.03
Forty
0.4
Three Cone
0.52
Weight
0.03
Rank
22
Player
Noah Elliss
College
Idaho
Age
23.08
Model
0
Draft Capital
0.14
Adj. Production
TFLs Per Game
Team Strenght
0.22
Adj. SPARQ
0.03
Forty
0.01
Three Cone
Weight
0.97

Jordan Davis (94th percentile) set a new defensive tackle record in adjusted SPARQ athleticism, though we didn't get agility drills from him. Who cares? Davis has 97th percentile speed with 96th percentile weight. At worst, Davis is a disruptive two-down nose tackle. At best, Davis allows defenses to play in two-high shells because he can two-gap and throw centers around the field with ease. His 24th percentile adjusted production is the primary concern here, but 2021 Georgia is one of the rare teams that had enough DL talent to force a true rotation. Anywhere in the 8th to 17th range is fair game to me in this class. Screw positional value. Davis is fun as hell.

DeMarvin Neal (85th percentile) is popping in the model with 97th percentile adjusted production and a 97th percentile three cone. He's way undersized (3rd percentile weight), but he is a disruptive player coming out of the SEC. My hot take is that he's a better prospect than Devonte Wyatt (73rd percentile), who is 24 years old with 28th percentile tackles for loss per game. Wyatt's 93rd percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism is carrying a lot of weight right now. Undersized 21-year-old DT Perrion Winfrey (78th percentile) and elite athlete Travis Jones (68th percentile) round out the defensive tackle class early on. Everyone else is sub-50th percentile.

2022 EDGE Prospect Rankings

2022 EDGE Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Aidan Hutchinson
College
Michigan
Age
21.72
Model
0.99
Draft Capital
1
Adj. Production
0.95
TFLs
0.57
Team Strength
0.91
Ad.j SPARQ
0.76
Weight
0.41
Forty
0.56
Three Cone
0.99
Rank
2
Player
Kayvon Thibodeaux
College
Oregon
Age
21.37
Model
0.97
Draft Capital
0.99
Adj. Production
0.9
TFLs
0.59
Team Strength
0.44
Ad.j SPARQ
0.75
Weight
0.29
Forty
0.88
Three Cone
0.5
Rank
3
Player
Travon Walker
College
Georgia
Age
21.36
Model
0.97
Draft Capital
0.97
Adj. Production
0.76
TFLs
0.05
Team Strength
0.99
Ad.j SPARQ
0.98
Weight
0.75
Forty
0.97
Three Cone
0.94
Rank
4
Player
Jermaine Johnson
College
Florida State
Age
23.31
Model
0.88
Draft Capital
0.93
Adj. Production
0.59
TFLs
0.81
Team Strength
0.29
Ad.j SPARQ
0.88
Weight
0.29
Forty
0.88
Three Cone
Rank
5
Player
George Karlaftis
College
Purdue
Age
21.07
Model
0.86
Draft Capital
0.88
Adj. Production
0.85
TFLs
0.27
Team Strength
0.61
Ad.j SPARQ
0.62
Weight
0.59
Forty
0.49
Three Cone
Rank
6
Player
David Ojabo
College
Michigan
Age
21.95
Model
0.82
Draft Capital
0.79
Adj. Production
0.84
TFLs
0.34
Team Strength
0.91
Ad.j SPARQ
0.81
Weight
0.17
Forty
0.92
Three Cone
Rank
7
Player
Arnold Ebiketie
College
Penn State
Age
23.26
Model
0.75
Draft Capital
0.78
Adj. Production
0.6
TFLs
0.82
Team Strength
0.63
Ad.j SPARQ
0.91
Weight
0.17
Forty
0.77
Three Cone
0.89
Rank
8
Player
Drake Jackson
College
USC
Age
21.04
Model
0.71
Draft Capital
0.71
Adj. Production
0.67
TFLs
0.21
Team Strength
0.22
Ad.j SPARQ
0.87
Weight
0.29
Forty
Three Cone
0.71
Rank
9
Player
DeAngelo Malone
College
Western Kentucky
Age
22.79
Model
0.69
Draft Capital
0.48
Adj. Production
0.92
TFLs
0.66
Team Strength
0.52
Ad.j SPARQ
0.81
Weight
0.06
Forty
0.93
Three Cone
0.78
Rank
10
Player
Cameron Thomas
College
San Diego State
Age
22.31
Model
0.64
Draft Capital
0.66
Adj. Production
0.7
TFLs
0.82
Team Strength
0.45
Ad.j SPARQ
0.63
Weight
0.64
Forty
Three Cone
0.91
Rank
11
Player
Nik Bonitto
College
Oklahoma
Age
22.59
Model
0.63
Draft Capital
0.59
Adj. Production
0.63
TFLs
0.77
Team Strength
0.66
Ad.j SPARQ
0.85
Weight
0.12
Forty
0.93
Three Cone
0.77
Rank
12
Player
Boye Mafe
College
Minnesota
Age
23.41
Model
0.62
Draft Capital
0.8
Adj. Production
0.1
TFLs
0.27
Team Strength
0.58
Ad.j SPARQ
0.92
Weight
0.44
Forty
0.96
Three Cone
0.49
Rank
13
Player
Josh Paschal
College
Kentucky
Age
22.36
Model
0.59
Draft Capital
0.62
Adj. Production
0.59
TFLs
0.66
Team Strength
0.54
Ad.j SPARQ
0.72
Weight
0.67
Forty
0.49
Three Cone
Rank
14
Player
Sam Williams
College
Ole Miss
Age
23.08
Model
0.57
Draft Capital
0.52
Adj. Production
0.36
TFLs
0.56
Team Strength
0.65
Ad.j SPARQ
0.97
Weight
0.44
Forty
0.98
Three Cone
0.71
Rank
15
Player
Logan Hall
College
Houston
Age
22.02
Model
0.51
Draft Capital
0.74
Adj. Production
0.47
TFLs
0.49
Team Strength
0.53
Ad.j SPARQ
0.16
Weight
0.89
Forty
0.2
Three Cone
0.46
Rank
16
Player
Amare Barno
College
Virginia Tech
Age
23.01
Model
0.36
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.07
TFLs
0.04
Team Strength
0.27
Ad.j SPARQ
0.98
Weight
0.11
Forty
1
Three Cone
Rank
17
Player
Kingsley Enagbare
College
South Carolina
Age
22.28
Model
0.35
Draft Capital
0.58
Adj. Production
0.34
TFLs
0.06
Team Strength
0.34
Ad.j SPARQ
0.27
Weight
0.38
Forty
0.23
Three Cone
0.4
Rank
18
Player
Alex Wright
College
Alabama-Birmingham
Age
21.65
Model
0.32
Draft Capital
0.21
Adj. Production
0.75
TFLs
0.11
Team Strength
0.37
Ad.j SPARQ
0.29
Weight
0.71
Forty
Three Cone
0.21
Rank
19
Player
Myjai Sanders
College
Cincinnati
Age
23.79
Model
0.32
Draft Capital
0.55
Adj. Production
0.22
TFLs
0.04
Team Strength
0.81
Ad.j SPARQ
0.51
Weight
0
Forty
0.73
Three Cone
Rank
20
Player
Tyreke Smith
College
Ohio State
Age
22.21
Model
0.28
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.4
TFLs
0.02
Team Strength
0.9
Ad.j SPARQ
0.38
Weight
0.29
Forty
0.24
Three Cone
0.78
Rank
21
Player
Micheal Clemons
College
Texas A&M
Age
24.69
Model
0.24
Draft Capital
0.41
Adj. Production
0.22
TFLs
0.49
Team Strength
0.62
Ad.j SPARQ
0.45
Weight
0.52
Forty
Three Cone
0.59
Rank
22
Player
Jeffrey Gunter
College
Coastal Carolina
Age
22.91
Model
0.23
Draft Capital
0.25
Adj. Production
0.25
TFLs
0.18
Team Strength
0.37
Ad.j SPARQ
0.71
Weight
0.38
Forty
0.65
Three Cone
0.54
Rank
23
Player
Christopher Allen
College
Alabama
Age
23.71
Model
0.19
Draft Capital
0.27
Adj. Production
0.29
TFLs
0.58
Team Strength
0.9
Ad.j SPARQ
Weight
0.05
Forty
Three Cone
Rank
24
Player
Isaiah Thomas
College
Oklahoma
Age
23.4
Model
0.17
Draft Capital
0.33
Adj. Production
0.24
TFLs
0.29
Team Strength
0.66
Ad.j SPARQ
0.39
Weight
0.59
Forty
0.65
Three Cone
0.09
Rank
25
Player
Zachary Carter
College
Florida
Age
23.06
Model
0.15
Draft Capital
0.52
Adj. Production
0.11
TFLs
0.36
Team Strength
0.39
Ad.j SPARQ
0.14
Weight
0.88
Forty
0.07
Three Cone
0.49
Rank
26
Player
Tyree Johnson
College
Texas A&M
Age
22.94
Model
0.14
Draft Capital
0.12
Adj. Production
0.28
TFLs
0.26
Team Strength
0.62
Ad.j SPARQ
Weight
0.12
Forty
Three Cone
Rank
27
Player
Dominique Robinson
College
Miami (OH)
Age
23.82
Model
0.06
Draft Capital
0.28
Adj. Production
0.03
TFLs
0.18
Team Strength
0.26
Ad.j SPARQ
0.63
Weight
0.26
Forty
0.59
Three Cone
0.6
Rank
28
Player
Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa
College
Notre Dame
Age
23.97
Model
0.04
Draft Capital
0.02
Adj. Production
0.1
TFLs
0.07
Team Strength
0.83
Ad.j SPARQ
0.42
Weight
0.69
Forty
0.39
Three Cone
Rank
29
Player
Esezi Otomewo
College
Minnesota
Age
23.14
Model
0.02
Draft Capital
0.12
Adj. Production
0.05
TFLs
0.01
Team Strength
0.58
Ad.j SPARQ
0.44
Weight
0.88
Forty
Three Cone
0.54
Rank
30
Player
Tre Williams
College
Arkansas
Age
Model
0
Draft Capital
0.02
Adj. Production
0.06
TFLs
0.12
Team Strength
0.65
Ad.j SPARQ
0.01
Weight
0.26
Forty
0.02
Three Cone
0.59

The edge class looks decent, especially in a class that's down in general. There will be three, maybe four, edge rushers that will go top-10.

Aidan Hutchinson (99th percentile) is the headliner after showing 95th percentile adjusted production as a senior. He checked boxes as the Combine with 76th percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism, but Hutchinson has clear pros and cons. His three cone is in the 99th percentile. His arms are 7th percentile. His weight is 41st percentile. I think he'll be a pretty good, not elite player in the NFL. My model's projected 1st overall draft capital is likely slightly overrating him a bit because in a normal class, Hutchinson gets drafted 7th or so overall.

Like Hutchinson, Kayvon Thibodeaux (97th percentile) is a little undersized (29th percentile weight) but is an above-average athlete (75th percentile). Where they win is completely different. Thibodeaux is an explosive straight-line player (88th percentile forty), while Hutchinson wins with pass-rushing moves and more bend. The advantage in Thibodeaux's profile is that he was a 5-star recruit who balled out as a freshman and then declared as a true junior. There's more developmental upside here.

Travon Walker (97th percentile) might surprise people with this high of a projection. His tackles for loss per game is in the bottom 5th percentile among drafted edge rushers since 2005, but there's a lot of context that my model can also pick up. Georgia's defense was elite, and Walker is a 21-year-old early declare. When in doubt, find SEC early declares, especially ones with 98th percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism, a 97th percentile forty, and a 94th percentile three cone. Walker will need time to develop, but he has the background and tools of an All Pro pass rusher. In a normal draft, Walker is the flier at 12th overall. In this weak draft, he belongs in the top-five discussion.

Jermaine Johnson (88th percentile), George Karlaftis (86th percentile), and David Ojabo (82nd overall) are the next tier. My model is slightly lower than the market on the first two; Johnson is 23.31 years old with 29th percentile weight and Karlaftis is a 62nd overall adjusted SPARQ athlete. Ojabo is a more interesting prospect. If not for a pre-draft process torn achilles, he'd be close to a 90th percentile prospect. He has 84th percentile adjusted production, is 21.9 years old, and had 81st percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism. In a down class, I'd be open to taking Ojabo early in the 2nd round, as he still ranks ahead of the following edge rushers even with tanked projected draft capital.

Arnold Ebiketie (75th percentile) is projected well ahead of Boye Mafe (62nd percentile) despite being projected to go slightly later in the draft. His 82nd percentile TFLs dwarf Mafe's 27th percentile. My model even likes 21-year-old Drake Jackson (71st percentile prospect), the highly productive DeAngelo Malone (69th percentile), bendy Cameron Thomas (64th percentile), and high-end athlete Nik Bonitto (63rd percentile) more than Mafe.

2022 LB Prospect Rankings

2022 LB Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Leo Chenal
College
Wisconsin
Age
21.51
Model
0.94
Draft Capital
0.82
Adj. Production
1
Tackles Per Game
0.9
Team Strength
0.75
Adj. SPARQ
0.98
Forty
0.85
Weight
0.9
Rank
2
Player
Nakobe Dean
College
Georgia
Age
21.38
Model
0.93
Draft Capital
0.93
Adj. Production
0.91
Tackles Per Game
0.1
Team Strength
0.98
Adj. SPARQ
Forty
Weight
0.08
Rank
3
Player
Quay Walker
College
Georgia
Age
21.97
Model
0.91
Draft Capital
0.88
Adj. Production
0.89
Tackles Per Game
0.12
Team Strength
0.98
Adj. SPARQ
0.82
Forty
0.88
Weight
0.57
Rank
4
Player
Devin Lloyd
College
Utah
Age
23.58
Model
0.91
Draft Capital
0.94
Adj. Production
0.59
Tackles Per Game
0.61
Team Strength
0.69
Adj. SPARQ
0.5
Forty
0.5
Weight
0.37
Rank
5
Player
Christian Harris
College
Alabama
Age
21.28
Model
0.9
Draft Capital
0.83
Adj. Production
0.9
Tackles Per Game
0.16
Team Strength
0.9
Adj. SPARQ
0.9
Forty
0.96
Weight
0.04
Rank
6
Player
Brandon Smith
College
Penn State
Age
21.04
Model
0.89
Draft Capital
0.78
Adj. Production
0.87
Tackles Per Game
0.4
Team Strength
0.64
Adj. SPARQ
0.96
Forty
0.88
Weight
0.9
Rank
7
Player
Damone Clark
College
LSU
Age
21.83
Model
0.83
Draft Capital
0.63
Adj. Production
0.98
Tackles Per Game
0.95
Team Strength
0.38
Adj. SPARQ
0.82
Forty
0.79
Weight
0.47
Rank
8
Player
Channing Tindall
College
Georgia
Age
22.08
Model
0.81
Draft Capital
0.81
Adj. Production
0.58
Tackles Per Game
0.07
Team Strength
0.98
Adj. SPARQ
0.91
Forty
0.94
Weight
0.11
Rank
9
Player
Chad Muma
College
Wyoming
Age
22.69
Model
0.76
Draft Capital
0.82
Adj. Production
0.66
Tackles Per Game
0.92
Team Strength
0.15
Adj. SPARQ
0.55
Forty
0.61
Weight
0.47
Rank
10
Player
Troy Andersen
College
Montana State
Age
23.01
Model
0.74
Draft Capital
0.8
Adj. Production
0.12
Tackles Per Game
0.84
Team Strength
0
Adj. SPARQ
1
Forty
0.98
Weight
0.68
Rank
11
Player
Malcolm Rodriguez
College
Oklahoma State
Age
23.08
Model
0.67
Draft Capital
0.57
Adj. Production
0.64
Tackles Per Game
0.8
Team Strength
0.77
Adj. SPARQ
0.88
Forty
0.88
Weight
0.17
Rank
12
Player
Darrian Beavers
College
Cincinnati
Age
22.81
Model
0.66
Draft Capital
0.69
Adj. Production
0.67
Tackles Per Game
0.45
Team Strength
0.81
Adj. SPARQ
0.4
Forty
0.42
Weight
0.37
Rank
13
Player
Brian Asamoah
College
Oklahoma
Age
22.08
Model
0.63
Draft Capital
0.65
Adj. Production
0.54
Tackles Per Game
0.39
Team Strength
0.67
Adj. SPARQ
0.64
Forty
0.82
Weight
0.04
Rank
14
Player
Terrel Bernard
College
Baylor
Age
22.98
Model
0.57
Draft Capital
0.46
Adj. Production
0.78
Tackles Per Game
0.61
Team Strength
0.72
Adj. SPARQ
0.53
Forty
0.74
Weight
0.02
Rank
15
Player
Mike Rose
College
Iowa State
Age
21.93
Model
0.54
Draft Capital
0.2
Adj. Production
0.88
Tackles Per Game
0.39
Team Strength
0.55
Adj. SPARQ
0.56
Forty
0.42
Weight
0.74
Rank
16
Player
Jack Sanborn
College
Wisconsin
Age
21.75
Model
0.51
Draft Capital
0.19
Adj. Production
0.94
Tackles Per Game
0.42
Team Strength
0.75
Adj. SPARQ
0.28
Forty
0.28
Weight
0.24
Rank
17
Player
Micah McFadden
College
Indiana
Age
22.32
Model
0.45
Draft Capital
0.36
Adj. Production
0.43
Tackles Per Game
0.34
Team Strength
0.13
Adj. SPARQ
0.85
Forty
0.66
Weight
0.52
Rank
18
Player
D'Marco Jackson
College
Appalachian State
Age
Model
0.42
Draft Capital
0.31
Adj. Production
0.5
Tackles Per Game
0.7
Team Strength
0.49
Adj. SPARQ
0.81
Forty
0.82
Weight
0.21
Rank
19
Player
Chance Campbell
College
Ole Miss
Age
22.56
Model
0.4
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.74
Tackles Per Game
0.68
Team Strength
0.65
Adj. SPARQ
0.72
Forty
0.79
Weight
0.17
Rank
20
Player
Zakoby McClain
College
Auburn
Age
22.14
Model
0.26
Draft Capital
0.27
Adj. Production
0.6
Tackles Per Game
0.6
Team Strength
0.47
Adj. SPARQ
0.17
Forty
0.42
Weight
0.06
Rank
21
Player
JoJo Domann
College
Nebraska
Age
24.75
Model
0.22
Draft Capital
0.48
Adj. Production
0.12
Tackles Per Game
0.47
Team Strength
0.48
Adj. SPARQ
0.42
Forty
0.66
Weight
0.06
Rank
22
Player
Josh Ross
College
Michigan
Age
22.49
Model
0.21
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.77
Tackles Per Game
0.55
Team Strength
0.91
Adj. SPARQ
0.04
Forty
0.16
Weight
0.05
Rank
23
Player
Baylon Spector
College
Clemson
Age
23.52
Model
0.2
Draft Capital
0.14
Adj. Production
0.21
Tackles Per Game
0.4
Team Strength
0.65
Adj. SPARQ
0.68
Forty
0.69
Weight
0.21
Rank
24
Player
Jesse Luketa
College
Penn State
Age
Model
0.16
Draft Capital
0.5
Adj. Production
0.19
Tackles Per Game
0.13
Team Strength
0.64
Adj. SPARQ
0.12
Forty
0.03
Weight
0.95
Rank
25
Player
Darien Butler
College
Arizona State
Age
22.16
Model
0.16
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.53
Tackles Per Game
0.4
Team Strength
0.46
Adj. SPARQ
Forty
Weight
0.01
Rank
26
Player
Aaron Hansford
College
Texas A&M
Age
24.18
Model
0.12
Draft Capital
0.21
Adj. Production
0.13
Tackles Per Game
0.53
Team Strength
0.61
Adj. SPARQ
0.41
Forty
0.58
Weight
0.47
Rank
27
Player
Nephi Sewell
College
Utah
Age
23.36
Model
0.11
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.32
Tackles Per Game
0.42
Team Strength
0.69
Adj. SPARQ
0.28
Forty
0.47
Weight
0.04
Rank
28
Player
Jeremiah Gemmel
College
North Carolina
Age
23.48
Model
0.09
Draft Capital
0.32
Adj. Production
0.13
Tackles Per Game
0.28
Team Strength
0.34
Adj. SPARQ
Forty
Weight
0.04
Rank
29
Player
Jake Hansen
College
Illinois
Age
23.86
Model
0.06
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.12
Tackles Per Game
0.33
Team Strength
0.29
Adj. SPARQ
Forty
Weight
0.43
Rank
30
Player
Jeremiah Moon
College
Florida
Age
23.69
Model
0.04
Draft Capital
0.19
Adj. Production
0.05
Tackles Per Game
0.1
Team Strength
0.37
Adj. SPARQ
0.3
Forty
0.21
Weight
0.88
Rank
31
Player
Nate Landman
College
Colorado
Age
23.44
Model
0.04
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.26
Tackles Per Game
0.77
Team Strength
0.1
Adj. SPARQ
0.07
Forty
0.05
Weight
0.43
Rank
32
Player
Isaiah Graham-Mobley
College
Boston College
Age
23.75
Model
0.03
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.05
Tackles Per Game
0.23
Team Strength
0.2
Adj. SPARQ
0.42
Forty
0.61
Weight
0.11

There are six off-ball LBs who project between 89th-94th percentile prospects, and all six come from Power 5 schools. Leo Chenal (94th percentile) is arguably receiving the least buzz of them, but he's the prospect who pops the most analytically. He's an early-declare from Wisconsin with 90th percentile tackles per game on a good Wisconsin defense, and then he had 98th percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism with an 85th percentile forty on 90th percentile weight. What am I missing here? He's 21.5 years old.

Nakobe Dean (93rd percentile) was a staple to one of the best college defenses of all time and is only 21.4 years old, but he only had 10th percentile tackles per game, opted not to test pre-draft, and has bottom 8th percentile weight. He might be situation specific. His teammate Quay Walker (91st percentile) has the requisite 57th percentile size and showcased 82nd percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism. He just wasn't an early declare like Dean.

Devin Lloyd (91st percentile) is getting love from the NFL/college insiders, but there are red flags with his profile. He's 23.6 years old, only had 61st percentile tackles per game, and is a 50th percentile adjusted SPARQ athlete. Lloyd looks like a serviceable starter, but the elite LBs typically offer more as prospects. Alabama's Christian Harris (90th percentile) and Penn State's Brandon Smith (89th percentile) are more than two years younger and are better athletes. Smith in particular has 96th percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism.

As for Day 2 depth, LSU's Damone Clark (83rd percentile) is the analytics darling if his medicals check out. Georgia's Channing Tindall (81st percentile) is undersized but has 94th percentile speed. Wyoming's Chad Muma (76th percentile) had 92nd percentile tackles per game with a 61st percentile forty. And Montana State's Troy Andersen (74th percentile) is a 100th percentile athlete at the position.

2022 CB Prospect Rankings

2022 CB Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Ahmad Gardner
College
Cincinnati
Age
21.66
Model
0.98
Draft Capital
0.99
Adj. Production
0.74
Team Strength
0.83
Adj. SPARQ
0.76
Height
0.99
Forty
0.71
Three Cone
Rank
2
Player
Derek Stingley Jr.
College
LSU
Age
20.86
Model
0.96
Draft Capital
0.98
Adj. Production
0.91
Team Strength
0.42
Adj. SPARQ
0.37
Height
0.55
Forty
0.62
Three Cone
0.34
Rank
3
Player
Andrew Booth Jr.
College
Clemson
Age
21.58
Model
0.91
Draft Capital
0.91
Adj. Production
0.78
Team Strength
0.68
Adj. SPARQ
Height
0.55
Forty
Three Cone
Rank
4
Player
Trent McDuffie
College
Washington
Age
21.63
Model
0.86
Draft Capital
0.92
Adj. Production
0.34
Team Strength
0.21
Adj. SPARQ
0.56
Height
0.32
Forty
0.62
Three Cone
Rank
5
Player
Kaiir Elam
College
Florida
Age
20.98
Model
0.8
Draft Capital
0.85
Adj. Production
0.56
Team Strength
0.41
Adj. SPARQ
0.53
Height
0.91
Forty
0.8
Three Cone
0.36
Rank
6
Player
Tariq Woolen
College
UTSA
Age
22.99
Model
0.74
Draft Capital
0.74
Adj. Production
0.28
Team Strength
0.46
Adj. SPARQ
1
Height
1
Forty
0.99
Three Cone
0.17
Rank
7
Player
Roger McCreary
College
Auburn
Age
22.22
Model
0.68
Draft Capital
0.78
Adj. Production
0.64
Team Strength
0.52
Adj. SPARQ
0.12
Height
0.32
Forty
0.34
Three Cone
0.4
Rank
8
Player
Kyler Gordon
College
Washington
Age
22.36
Model
0.66
Draft Capital
0.81
Adj. Production
0.16
Team Strength
0.21
Adj. SPARQ
0.59
Height
0.55
Forty
0.23
Three Cone
0.93
Rank
9
Player
Martin Emerson
College
Mississippi State
Age
21.59
Model
0.56
Draft Capital
0.71
Adj. Production
0.41
Team Strength
0.43
Adj. SPARQ
0.33
Height
0.91
Forty
0.18
Three Cone
0.61
Rank
10
Player
Cam Taylor-Britt
College
Nebraska
Age
22.54
Model
0.54
Draft Capital
0.58
Adj. Production
0.48
Team Strength
0.53
Adj. SPARQ
0.59
Height
0.32
Forty
0.85
Three Cone
0.57