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2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings, Per Analytics (Offense)

Apr 21st 2022

Hayden Winks

My analytics only 2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings are just that -- the results of what my model spits out at me. I have my personal RB and WR rankings after watching their film. But this process is at least interesting and at best actionable.

My model takes projected draft capital (essentially a film grade), age, college production, team strength, and athleticism to create an NFL projection. I then compare that projection to all drafted players since 2005 at that position to create prospect percentiles. The best prospects will have a 100th percentile score. Bad prospects will have 5th percentile scores. 50th percentile is average obviously. The best prospects in my model often hit the following:

  • Projected to go early in the draft

  • Are 20 or 21 years old with a bonus for early declares

  • Played on elite college teams and were 4- or 5-star recruits

  • Were very productive players in their final season

  • Were early producers if they didn't go to elite football programs

  • Tested well at the Combine

In this column, you'll see two primary metrics: 1) "Adjusted Production" is a combination of the most predictive on-field stats, college team strength, and age, so an older prospect who had more yards at a bad school very well could have a lower adjusted production score compared to a younger prospect on a good team. That's because the latter is more predictive of NFL success. ... 2) "Adjusted SPARQ Athleticism" is an all-encompassing workout score, but unlike other athletic measurables, this one is specific to each position. This is key because the athleticism required at CB is far different than it is at DT. I even have split RB and WR into two different models because small RBs typically are used out in space as pass-catchers and big RBs are asked to run up the middle. Ditto for small and big WRs.

In general, the most predictive stat is draft capital, followed by adjusted production and then adjusted SPARQ athleticism.

2022 QB Prospect Rankings

2022 QB Prospects Table
Rank
1
Player
Kenny Pickett
College
Pittsburgh
Age
23.8
Model
0.89
Draft Capital
0.82
Total QBR
0.77
Total EPA
0.94
Rushing EPA
0.83
Schedule
0.29
Rank
2
Player
Matt Corral
College
Mississippi
Age
23.1
Model
0.83
Draft Capital
0.7
Total QBR
0.74
Total EPA
0.77
Rushing EPA
0.93
Schedule
0.6
Rank
3
Player
Malik Willis
College
Liberty
Age
22.8
Model
0.78
Draft Capital
0.79
Total QBR
0.37
Total EPA
0.67
Rushing EPA
0.99
Schedule
0.14
Rank
4
Player
Desmond Ridder
College
Cincinnati
Age
22.6
Model
0.74
Draft Capital
0.73
Total QBR
0.43
Total EPA
0.58
Rushing EPA
0.85
Schedule
0.29
Rank
5
Player
Sam Howell
College
North Carolina
Age
21.5
Model
0.71
Draft Capital
0.64
Total QBR
0.61
Total EPA
0.62
Rushing EPA
0.96
Schedule
0.4
Rank
6
Player
Bailey Zappe
College
Western Kentucky
Age
22.9
Model
0.6
Draft Capital
0.42
Total QBR
0.69
Total EPA
0.97
Rushing EPA
0.14
Schedule
0.19
Rank
7
Player
Carson Strong
College
Nevada
Age
22.5
Model
0.54
Draft Capital
0.57
Total QBR
0.19
Total EPA
0.62
Rushing EPA
0.07
Schedule
0.2
Rank
8
Player
Brock Purdy
College
Iowa State
Age
22.2
Model
0.27
Draft Capital
0.17
Total QBR
0.37
Total EPA
0.42
Rushing EPA
0.29
Schedule
0.5
Rank
9
Player
Kaleb Eleby
College
Western Michigan
Age
22
Model
0.24
Draft Capital
0.27
Total QBR
0.11
Total EPA
0.35
Rushing EPA
0.16
Schedule
0.18
Rank
10
Player
Jack Coan
College
Notre Dame
Age
23.3
Model
0.18
Draft Capital
0.17
Total QBR
0.46
Total EPA
0.31
Rushing EPA
0.11
Schedule
0.58
Rank
11
Player
Skylar Thompson
College
Kansas State
Age
24.8
Model
0.17
Draft Capital
0.17
Total QBR
0.62
Total EPA
0.19
Rushing EPA
0.47
Schedule
0.43
Rank
12
Player
Dustin Crum
College
Kent State
Age
23.2
Model
0.15
Draft Capital
0.02
Total QBR
0.54
Total EPA
0.82
Rushing EPA
0.96
Schedule
0.14
Rank
13
Player
D'Eriq King
College
Miami (FL)
Age
24.6
Model
0.13
Draft Capital
0.02
Total QBR
0.67
Total EPA
0.57
Rushing EPA
0.77
Schedule
0.52
Rank
14
Player
Tanner McKee
College
Stanford
Age
21.9
Model
0.01
Draft Capital
0.02
Total QBR
0.21
Total EPA
0.09
Rushing EPA
0.2
Schedule
0.56
Rank
15
Player
Chase Garbers
College
California
Age
22.8
Model
0.01
Draft Capital
0.02
Total QBR
0.19
Total EPA
0.2
Rushing EPA
0.84
Schedule
0.2

Overall, this is a bad QB class.

Pickett is a late-Round 1 prospect (89th percentile) to me. He is in a tier of his own here after posting 94th percentile total expected points added (EPA) as a redshirt senior, and his 83rd percentile rushing EPA is on par with the rest of the consensus top-five QBs. But he's older and faced a poor strength of schedule when he popped off. My full Kenny Pickett report is here.

There are upside cases with Matt Corral (83rd percentile) and Malik Willis (78th percentile), but they require system changes and development (see my Malik Willis report). Desmond Ridder (74th percentile) and Sam Howell (71st percentile) are likely backups after posting mediocre scores in all passing categories. Beyond that, Bailey Zappe (60th percentile) and Carson Strong (54th percentile) are complete QB2 dart throws on opposite sides of the physical spectrum.

2022 RB Prospect Rankings

2022 RB Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Breece Hall
College
Iowa State
Age
20.9
Model
0.96
Draft Capital
0.89
Adj SPARQ
0.95
Adj Production
0.94
Total Yards PG
0.83
Receiving Yards PG
0.8
Team Strength
0.53
Rank
2
Player
Kenneth Walker III
College
Michigan State
Age
21.5
Model
0.89
Draft Capital
0.86
Adj SPARQ
0.88
Adj Production
0.82
Total Yards PG
0.79
Receiving Yards PG
0.19
Team Strength
0.75
Rank
3
Player
Isaiah Spiller
College
Texas A&M
Age
20.7
Model
0.7
Draft Capital
0.72
Adj SPARQ
0.23
Adj Production
0.63
Total Yards PG
0.34
Receiving Yards PG
0.53
Team Strength
0.6
Rank
4
Player
Zamir White
College
Georgia
Age
22.6
Model
0.69
Draft Capital
0.67
Adj SPARQ
0.97
Adj Production
0.32
Total Yards PG
0.07
Receiving Yards PG
0.1
Team Strength
0.98
Rank
5
Player
Tyler Allgeier
College
BYU
Age
22
Model
0.67
Draft Capital
0.63
Adj SPARQ
0.44
Adj Production
0.75
Total Yards PG
0.75
Receiving Yards PG
0.51
Team Strength
0.43
Rank
6
Player
James Cook
College
Georgia
Age
22.6
Model
0.65
Draft Capital
0.67
Adj SPARQ
0.54
Adj Production
0.43
Total Yards PG
0.1
Receiving Yards PG
0.65
Team Strength
0.98
Rank
7
Player
Rachaad White
College
Arizona State
Age
23.3
Model
0.6
Draft Capital
0.45
Adj SPARQ
0.84
Adj Production
0.66
Total Yards PG
0.69
Receiving Yards PG
0.96
Team Strength
0.39
Rank
8
Player
Brian Robinson Jr.
College
Alabama
Age
23.1
Model
0.57
Draft Capital
0.57
Adj SPARQ
0.53
Adj Production
0.41
Total Yards PG
0.54
Receiving Yards PG
0.71
Team Strength
0.91
Rank
9
Player
Kyren Williams
College
Notre Dame
Age
21.7
Model
0.51
Draft Capital
0.47
Adj SPARQ
0.13
Adj Production
0.79
Total Yards PG
0.5
Receiving Yards PG
0.88
Team Strength
0.82
Rank
10
Player
Jerome Ford
College
Cincinnati
Age
22.6
Model
0.42
Draft Capital
0.45
Adj SPARQ
0.07
Adj Production
0.6
Total Yards PG
0.55
Receiving Yards PG
0.58
Team Strength
0.8
Rank
11
Player
Tyler Badie
College
Missouri
Age
22.2
Model
0.42
Draft Capital
0.37
Adj SPARQ
0.32
Adj Production
0.58
Total Yards PG
0.91
Receiving Yards PG
0.84
Team Strength
0.17
Rank
12
Player
Dameon Pierce
College
Florida
Age
22.2
Model
0.37
Draft Capital
0.43
Adj SPARQ
0.4
Adj Production
0.17
Total Yards PG
0.07
Receiving Yards PG
0.56
Team Strength
0.3
Rank
13
Player
Tyler Goodson
College
Iowa
Age
21.5
Model
0.28
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.75
Adj Production
0.41
Total Yards PG
0.44
Receiving Yards PG
0.65
Team Strength
0.54
Rank
14
Player
Abram Smith
College
Baylor
Age
23.6
Model
0.28
Draft Capital
0.27
Adj SPARQ
0.47
Adj Production
0.28
Total Yards PG
0.56
Receiving Yards PG
0.12
Team Strength
0.7
Rank
15
Player
Hassan Haskins
College
Michigan
Age
22.4
Model
0.28
Draft Capital
0.27
Adj SPARQ
Adj Production
0.55
Total Yards PG
0.39
Receiving Yards PG
0.24
Team Strength
0.92
Rank
16
Player
Kennedy Brooks
College
Oklahoma
Age
23.6
Model
0.2
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.28
Adj Production
0.38
Total Yards PG
0.36
Receiving Yards PG
0.12
Team Strength
0.65
Rank
17
Player
Sincere McCormick
College
UTSA
Age
21.6
Model
0.19
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.27
Adj Production
0.65
Total Yards PG
0.64
Receiving Yards PG
0.46
Team Strength
0.35
Rank
18
Player
Tyrion Davis-Price
College
LSU
Age
21.5
Model
0.15
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.55
Adj Production
0.15
Total Yards PG
0.26
Receiving Yards PG
0.11
Team Strength
0.32
Rank
19
Player
Snoop Conner
College
Ole Miss
Age
22.1
Model
0.13
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.38
Adj Production
0.22
Total Yards PG
0.05
Receiving Yards PG
0.15
Team Strength
0.63
Rank
20
Player
Jerrion Ealy
College
Ole Miss
Age
21.7
Model
0.12
Draft Capital
0.12
Adj SPARQ
0.14
Adj Production
0.42
Total Yards PG
0.2
Receiving Yards PG
0.62
Team Strength
0.63
Rank
21
Player
Trestan Ebner
College
Baylor
Age
23.3
Model
0.11
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.58
Adj Production
0.07
Total Yards PG
0.15
Receiving Yards PG
0.69
Team Strength
0.7
Rank
22
Player
Max Borghi
College
Washington State
Age
23
Model
0.11
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.26
Adj Production
0.2
Total Yards PG
0.24
Receiving Yards PG
0.39
Team Strength
0.28
Rank
23
Player
Jaylen Warren
College
Oklahoma State
Age
23.5
Model
0.11
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.42
Adj Production
0.3
Total Yards PG
0.48
Receiving Yards PG
0.59
Team Strength
0.76
Rank
24
Player
Zonovan Knight
College
North Carolina State
Age
21.1
Model
0.09
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.29
Adj Production
0.33
Total Yards PG
0.14
Receiving Yards PG
0.39
Team Strength
0.57
Rank
25
Player
Keaontay Ingram
College
USC
Age
22.5
Model
0.09
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.69
Adj Production
0.15
Total Yards PG
0.42
Receiving Yards PG
0.51
Team Strength
0.15
Rank
26
Player
Isaih Pacheco
College
Rutgers
Age
23.2
Model
0.07
Draft Capital
0.17
Adj SPARQ
0.79
Adj Production
0.01
Total Yards PG
0.05
Receiving Yards PG
0.02
Team Strength
0.15
Rank
27
Player
Leddie Brown
College
West Virginia
Age
23.2
Model
0.07
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.32
Adj Production
0.19
Total Yards PG
0.42
Receiving Yards PG
0.62
Team Strength
0.21
Rank
28
Player
Ronnie Rivers
College
Fresno State
Age
23.3
Model
0.04
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.04
Adj Production
0.2
Total Yards PG
0.4
Receiving Yards PG
0.92
Team Strength
0.32
Rank
29
Player
Jashaun Corbin
College
Florida State
Age
21.7
Model
0.04
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.07
Adj Production
0.21
Total Yards PG
0.24
Receiving Yards PG
0.35
Team Strength
0.18
Rank
30
Player
D'vonte Price
College
Florida International
Age
22.9
Model
0.03
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.81
Adj Production
0.01
Total Yards PG
0.23
Receiving Yards PG
0.24
Team Strength
0.06
Rank
31
Player
CJ Verdell
College
Oregon
Age
22.7
Model
0.01
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
Adj Production
0.36
Total Yards PG
0.31
Receiving Yards PG
0.56
Team Strength
0.38
Rank
32
Player
Kevin Harris
College
South Carolina
Age
21.5
Model
0.01
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0.02
Adj Production
0.18
Total Yards PG
0.08
Receiving Yards PG
0.2
Team Strength
0.24
Rank
33
Player
Ty Chandler
College
North Carolina
Age
24
Model
0.01
Draft Capital
0.13
Adj SPARQ
0.01
Adj Production
0.06
Total Yards PG
0.35
Receiving Yards PG
0.56
Team Strength
0.28
Rank
34
Player
Greg Bell
College
San Diego State
Age
23
Model
0
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
Adj Production
0.08
Total Yards PG
0.16
Receiving Yards PG
0.01
Team Strength
0.39
Rank
35
Player
ZaQuandre White
College
South Carolina
Age
23.4
Model
0
Draft Capital
0.05
Adj SPARQ
0
Adj Production
0.03
Total Yards PG
0.15
Receiving Yards PG
0.66
Team Strength
0.24
Rank
36
Player
Pierre Strong Jr.
College
South Dakota State
Age
23.4
Model
Draft Capital
0.41
Adj SPARQ
0.94
Adj Production
Total Yards PG
Receiving Yards PG
Team Strength

I guess the RB class is fine because there is a lot of depth in that Round 4 range, but it's really a class of two at the top -- Breece Hall (96th percentile) and Kenneth Walker (89th percentile). Both are 88th percentile or better athletes, Power 5 players, and early declares. The primary difference in their analytical profiles is receiver. Hall has 80th percentile receiving yards per game. Walker, 19th percentile. Even with this, I'm in the minority by ranking Walker as my RB1 in this class.

There are seven RBs that are in the 50th to 70th percentile range, with a wide variety of playing styles. Isaiah Spiller, Zamir White, Tyler Allgeier, and Brian Robinson are the bigger backs. James Cook, Rachaad White, and Kyren Williams are pass-catching options.

2022 WR Prospect Rankings

2022 WR Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Jameson Williams
Player,Draft_Year
Alabama
Age
21.1
Model
0.97
Draft Capital
0.96
Adj. Production
0.96
PPR PG
0.81
Yards Per Team Pass
0.72
Team Strength
0.9
Adj. SPARQ
Weight
179
Rank
2
Player
Garrett Wilson
Player,Draft_Year
Ohio State
Age
21.8
Model
0.97
Draft Capital
0.97
Adj. Production
0.95
PPR PG
0.84
Yards Per Team Pass
0.61
Team Strength
0.89
Adj. SPARQ
0.5
Weight
183
Rank
3
Player
Drake London
Player,Draft_Year
USC
Age
20.8
Model
0.97
Draft Capital
0.96
Adj. Production
0.94
PPR PG
0.98
Yards Per Team Pass
0.88
Team Strength
0.12
Adj. SPARQ
Weight
219
Rank
4
Player
Chris Olave
Player,Draft_Year
Ohio State
Age
21.8
Model
0.94
Draft Capital
0.95
Adj. Production
0.91
PPR PG
0.8
Yards Per Team Pass
0.45
Team Strength
0.89
Adj. SPARQ
0.53
Weight
187
Rank
5
Player
Treylon Burks
Player,Draft_Year
Arkansas
Age
22.1
Model
0.9
Draft Capital
0.92
Adj. Production
0.86
PPR PG
0.73
Yards Per Team Pass
0.95
Team Strength
0.61
Adj. SPARQ
0.42
Weight
225
Rank
6
Player
Skyy Moore
Player,Draft_Year
Western Michigan
Age
21.6
Model
0.89
Draft Capital
0.83
Adj. Production
0.96
PPR PG
0.88
Yards Per Team Pass
0.96
Team Strength
0.2
Adj. SPARQ
0.64
Weight
195
Rank
7
Player
George Pickens
Player,Draft_Year
Georgia
Age
21.2
Model
0.86
Draft Capital
0.85
Adj. Production
0.88
PPR PG
0.45
Yards Per Team Pass
0.37
Team Strength
0.89
Adj. SPARQ
0.52
Weight
195
Rank
8
Player
Jahan Dotson
Player,Draft_Year
Penn State
Age
22.1
Model
0.82
Draft Capital
0.87
Adj. Production
0.75
PPR PG
0.88
Yards Per Team Pass
0.66
Team Strength
0.59
Adj. SPARQ
0.26
Weight
178
Rank
9
Player
Wan'Dale Robinson
Player,Draft_Year
Kentucky
Age
21.3
Model
0.77
Draft Capital
0.66
Adj. Production
0.97
PPR PG
0.79
Yards Per Team Pass
0.94
Team Strength
0.49
Adj. SPARQ
0.15
Weight
178
Rank
10
Player
Christian Watson
Player,Draft_Year
North Dakota State
Age
23
Model
0.72
Draft Capital
0.85
Adj. Production
0.25
PPR PG
0.32
Yards Per Team Pass
0.97
Team Strength
0.01
Adj. SPARQ
0.96
Weight
208
Rank
11
Player
John Metchie
Player,Draft_Year
Alabama
Age
21.8
Model
0.71
Draft Capital
0.64
Adj. Production
0.89
PPR PG
0.71
Yards Per Team Pass
0.49
Team Strength
0.9
Adj. SPARQ
Weight
187
Rank
12
Player
David Bell
Player,Draft_Year
Purdue
Age
21.4
Model
0.71
Draft Capital
0.72
Adj. Production
0.88
PPR PG
0.87
Yards Per Team Pass
0.66
Team Strength
0.57
Adj. SPARQ
0.11
Weight
212
Rank
13
Player
Tyquan Thornton
Player,Draft_Year
Baylor
Age
21.7
Model
0.66
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.89
PPR PG
0.45
Yards Per Team Pass
0.65
Team Strength
0.69
Adj. SPARQ
0.87
Weight
181
Rank
14
Player
Alec Pierce
Player,Draft_Year
Cincinnati
Age
22
Model
0.63
Draft Capital
0.69
Adj. Production
0.51
PPR PG
0.3
Yards Per Team Pass
0.43
Team Strength
0.78
Adj. SPARQ
0.83
Weight
211
Rank
15
Player
Khalil Shakir
Player,Draft_Year
Boise State
Age
22.2
Model
0.61
Draft Capital
0.61
Adj. Production
0.64
PPR PG
0.67
Yards Per Team Pass
0.71
Team Strength
0.5
Adj. SPARQ
0.69
Weight
196
Rank
16
Player
Jalen Tolbert
Player,Draft_Year
South Alabama
Age
23.2
Model
0.55
Draft Capital
0.65
Adj. Production
0.43
PPR PG
0.87
Yards Per Team Pass
0.93
Team Strength
0.06
Adj. SPARQ
0.44
Weight
194
Rank
17
Player
Kevin Austin
Player,Draft_Year
Notre Dame
Age
22.1
Model
0.42
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.52
PPR PG
0.41
Yards Per Team Pass
0.39
Team Strength
0.81
Adj. SPARQ
0.88
Weight
200
Rank
18
Player
Kyle Philips
Player,Draft_Year
UCLA
Age
22.9
Model
0.37
Draft Capital
0.33
Adj. Production
0.55
PPR PG
0.56
Yards Per Team Pass
0.54
Team Strength
0.43
Adj. SPARQ
0.28
Weight
189
Rank
19
Player
Romeo Doubs
Player,Draft_Year
Nevada
Age
22.1
Model
0.36
Draft Capital
0.39
Adj. Production
0.48
PPR PG
0.87
Yards Per Team Pass
0.49
Team Strength
0.27
Adj. SPARQ
Weight
201
Rank
20
Player
Calvin Austin III
Player,Draft_Year
Memphis
Age
23.1
Model
0.34
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.21
PPR PG
0.7
Yards Per Team Pass
0.64
Team Strength
0.13
Adj. SPARQ
0.86
Weight
170
Rank
21
Player
Makai Polk
Player,Draft_Year
Mississippi State
Age
20.7
Model
0.32
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.63
PPR PG
0.73
Yards Per Team Pass
0.12
Team Strength
0.32
Adj. SPARQ
0.16
Weight
195
Rank
22
Player
Erik Ezukanma
Player,Draft_Year
Texas Tech
Age
22.3
Model
0.3
Draft Capital
0.43
Adj. Production
0.28
PPR PG
0.27
Yards Per Team Pass
0.39
Team Strength
0.23
Adj. SPARQ
0.59
Weight
209
Rank
23
Player
Danny Gray
Player,Draft_Year
SMU
Age
23.1
Model
0.28
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.21
PPR PG
0.61
Yards Per Team Pass
0.35
Team Strength
0.37
Adj. SPARQ
0.73
Weight
186
Rank
24
Player
Devon Williams
Player,Draft_Year
Oregon
Age
21.8
Model
0.26
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.65
PPR PG
0.18
Yards Per Team Pass
0.27
Team Strength
0.38
Adj. SPARQ
0.03
Weight
210
Rank
25
Player
Jalen Nailor
Player,Draft_Year
Michigan State
Age
23.2
Model
0.23
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.42
PPR PG
0.48
Yards Per Team Pass
0.59
Team Strength
0.74
Adj. SPARQ
0.24
Weight
186
Rank
26
Player
Charleston Rambo
Player,Draft_Year
Miami (FL)
Age
22.7
Model
0.21
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.47
PPR PG
0.71
Yards Per Team Pass
0.6
Team Strength
0.33
Adj. SPARQ
0.08
Weight
177
Rank
27
Player
Justyn Ross
Player,Draft_Year
Clemson
Age
22.4
Model
0.21
Draft Capital
0.42
Adj. Production
0.34
PPR PG
0.19
Yards Per Team Pass
0.17
Team Strength
0.6
Adj. SPARQ
0.03
Weight
205
Rank
28
Player
Josh Johnson
Player,Draft_Year
Tulsa
Age
22.7
Model
0.2
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.41
PPR PG
0.55
Yards Per Team Pass
0.67
Team Strength
0.16
Adj. SPARQ
0.11
Weight
183
Rank
29
Player
Dontario Drummond
Player,Draft_Year
Ole Miss
Age
24.7
Model
0.16
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.26
PPR PG
0.65
Yards Per Team Pass
0.65
Team Strength
0.6
Adj. SPARQ
0.25
Weight
215
Rank
30
Player
Tre Turner
Player,Draft_Year
Virginia Tech
Age
22
Model
0.14
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.36
PPR PG
0.25
Yards Per Team Pass
0.73
Team Strength
0.16
Adj. SPARQ
0.04
Weight
184
Rank
31
Player
Bo Melton
Player,Draft_Year
Rutgers
Age
23
Model
0.12
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.15
PPR PG
0.3
Yards Per Team Pass
0.34
Team Strength
0.13
Adj. SPARQ
0.49
Weight
189
Rank
32
Player
Mike Woods
Player,Draft_Year
Oklahoma
Age
22
Model
0.12
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.14
PPR PG
0.04
Yards Per Team Pass
0.05
Team Strength
0.62
Adj. SPARQ
0.49
Weight
204
Rank
33
Player
Velus Jones Jr.
Player,Draft_Year
Tennessee
Age
25
Model
0.08
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.06
PPR PG
0.35
Yards Per Team Pass
0.4
Team Strength
0.45
Adj. SPARQ
0.6
Weight
204
Rank
34
Player
Braylon Sanders
Player,Draft_Year
Ole Miss
Age
23.3
Model
0.07
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.12
PPR PG
0.09
Yards Per Team Pass
0.13
Team Strength
0.6
Adj. SPARQ
0.29
Weight
194
Rank
35
Player
Reggie Roberson Jr.
Player,Draft_Year
SMU
Age
23.6
Model
0.05
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.05
PPR PG
0.24
Yards Per Team Pass
0.08
Team Strength
0.37
Adj. SPARQ
0.33
Weight
192
Rank
36
Player
Ty Fryfogle
Player,Draft_Year
Indiana
Age
23.3
Model
0.04
Draft Capital
0.37
Adj. Production
0.01
PPR PG
0.06
Yards Per Team Pass
0.07
Team Strength
0.08
Adj. SPARQ
0.6
Weight
204
Rank
37
Player
Slade Bolden
Player,Draft_Year
Alabama
Age
23.3
Model
0.03
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.04
PPR PG
0.02
Yards Per Team Pass
0.01
Team Strength
0.9
Adj. SPARQ
0.06
Weight
193
Rank
38
Player
Johnny Johnson III
Player,Draft_Year
Oregon
Age
22.8
Model
0.03
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
0.08
PPR PG
0.03
Yards Per Team Pass
0.05
Team Strength
0.38
Adj. SPARQ
0.01
Weight
197
Rank
39
Player
Dai'Jean Dixon
Player,Draft_Year
Nicholls State
Age
Model
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
PPR PG
Yards Per Team Pass
Team Strength
Adj. SPARQ
0.43
Weight
205
Rank
40
Player
Isaiah Weston
Player,Draft_Year
Northern Iowa
Age
Model
Draft Capital
0.23
Adj. Production
PPR PG
Yards Per Team Pass
Team Strength
Adj. SPARQ
0.94
Weight
214

Once again, the incoming WR class is good, both in Round 1 and into Day 2.

Jameson Williams (97th percentile), Garrett Wilson (97th percentile), and Drake London (97th percentile) all offer different skill sets, but they are all productive Power 5 early declares projected to go inside the top-15 overall. I personally have London ranked as my WR1 after he had 98th percentile PPR points per game as a true junior at USC. Chris Olave (94th percentile) isn't an early declare and is a finesse Z receiver, but other than that, his profile is rock solid. I'm in as long as expectations aren't super high.

Treylon Burks (90th percentile), Skyy Moore (89th percentile), George Pickens (86th percentile), and Jahan Dotson (82nd percentile) are also in the Round 1 mix depending on how early the inevitable WR run starts. All of these prospects have one primary weakness -- Burks (slot to X projection), Moore (size translating against tougher competition), Pickens (injuries), and Dotson (size). Christian Watson (72nd percentile) is not an analytics prospect due to age, team strength, and average production. It's possible a team gets desperate for his 96th percentile adjusted SPARQ athleticism late in Round 1, however.

There are seven other WR prospects in the Day 2 mix. Wan'Dale Robinson (77th percentile), David Bell (71st percentile), and Khalil Shakir (61st percentile) are slot options. Tyquan Thornton (66th percentile), Alec Pierce (63rd percentile), and Jalen Tolbert (55th percentile) are downfield threats on the perimeter. John Metchie (71st percentile) is somewhere in between.

2022 TE Prospect Rankings

2022 TE Prospects
Rank
1
Player
Trey McBride
College
Colorado State
Age
22.5
Model
0.86
Draft Capital
0.84
Adj. Production
0.83
Team Share of Yards
1
Career Yards PG
0.93
Team Strength
0.04
Adj. SPARQ
0.72
Weight
0.23
Rank
2
Player
Greg Dulcich
College
UCLA
Age
22.4
Model
0.82
Draft Capital
0.82
Adj. Production
0.85
Team Share of Yards
0.95
Career Yards PG
0.96
Team Strength
0.44
Adj. SPARQ
0.42
Weight
0.11
Rank
3
Player
Charlie Kolar
College
Iowa State
Age
23.5
Model
0.78
Draft Capital
0.58
Adj. Production
0.78
Team Share of Yards
0.81
Career Yards PG
0.88
Team Strength
0.52
Adj. SPARQ
0.9
Weight
0.49
Rank
4
Player
Isaiah Likely
College
Coastal Carolina
Age
21.7
Model
0.75
Draft Capital
0.46
Adj. Production
0.98
Team Share of Yards
0.94
Career Yards PG
0.85
Team Strength
0.25
Adj. SPARQ
0.22
Weight
0.18
Rank
5
Player
Daniel Bellinger
College
San Diego State
Age
21.9
Model
0.66
Draft Capital
0.46
Adj. Production
0.73
Team Share of Yards
0.5
Career Yards PG
0.23
Team Strength
0.38
Adj. SPARQ
0.81
Weight
0.56
Rank
6
Player
Jelani Woods
College
Virginia
Age
23.9
Model
0.64
Draft Capital
0.61
Adj. Production
0.29
Team Share of Yards
0.35
Career Yards PG
0.33
Team Strength
0.2
Adj. SPARQ
0.97
Weight
0.56
Rank
7
Player
Cole Turner
College
Nevada
Age
22.4
Model
0.53
Draft Capital
0.38
Adj. Production
0.71
Team Share of Yards
0.5
Career Yards PG
0.93
Team Strength
0.24
Adj. SPARQ
0.47
Weight
0.34
Rank
8
Player
Jeremy Ruckert
College
Ohio State
Age
22
Model
0.44
Draft Capital
0.68
Adj. Production
0.36
Team Share of Yards
0.1
Career Yards PG
0.2
Team Strength
0.93
Adj. SPARQ
0.5
Weight
0.49
Rank
9
Player
Jake Ferguson
College
Wisconsin
Age
23.6
Model
0.41
Draft Capital
0.31
Adj. Production
0.65
Team Share of Yards
0.79
Career Yards PG
0.5
Team Strength
0.75
Adj. SPARQ
0.33
Weight
0.39
Rank
10
Player
Jalen Wydermyer
College
Texas A&M
Age
21.7
Model
0.39
Draft Capital
0.24
Adj. Production
0.94
Team Share of Yards
0.76
Career Yards PG
0.75
Team Strength
0.59
Adj. SPARQ
0.01
Weight
0.66
Rank
11
Player
Austin Allen
College
Nebraska
Age
23.8
Model
0.36
Draft Capital
0.06
Adj. Production
0.48
Team Share of Yards
0.66
Career Yards PG
0.48
Team Strength
0.44
Adj. SPARQ
0.79
Weight
0.56
Rank
12
Player
James Mitchell
College
Virginia Tech
Age
23
Model
0.31
Draft Capital
0.34
Adj. Production
0.46
Team Share of Yards
0.73
Career Yards PG
0.63
Team Strength
0.13
Adj. SPARQ
0.3
Weight
0.34
Rank
13