The Carolina Panthers have a ton of new faces on offense, so it's time to break down the ins-and-outs for fantasy purposes. We can draft them all on Underdog Fantasy with promo code 'UNDERBLOG' to match your first deposit up to $100. We have the biggest fantasy football tournament of all time ($15M) right now.
Most of this chart can be thrown out to be honest.
3-WR Sets (19th in snaps, 69% of snaps)
WR: Adam Thielen --> Shi Smith
WR: D.J. Chark --> Terrace Marshall
SLOT: Jonathan Mingo (R) --> Laviska Shenault
TE: Hayden Hurst --> Ian Thomas
2-WR Sets (24th in snaps, 24% of snaps)
WR: Adam Thielen --> Terrace Marshall
WR: Jonathan Mingo (R) --> D.J. Chark
SLOT TE: Hayden Hurst --> Stephen Sullivan
INLINE TE: Ian Thomas --> Tommy Tremble
RB Usage (16th in expected half PPR)
GOAL LINE: Miles Sanders --> Chuba Hubbard
PASSING DOWN: Miles Sanders --> Chuba Hubbard
Offensive Line (slightly above average)
LT: Ikem Ekwonu (very high upside)
LG: Brady Christensen (mid returning starter)
C: Bradley Bozeman (mid returning starter)
RG: Austin Corbett (mid returning starter)
RT: Taylor Moton (decent returning starter)
The Carolina Panthers are spending the fewest cap dollars on their offense of any team in the NFL, so keep that in mind when thinking about Bryce Young's rookie expectations. We've debated Young's game in this video, but I was lower than the market on his skills because I'm nervous his pocket movement and over the middle throws won't translate enough to make up for his below average arm strength and average accuracy. Young is fairly athletic, yet almost never scrambles nor will have a goal line package. I worry his fantasy appeal is small compared to other 1st overall picks... I have also been wrong before!
The entire WR starting lineup is new. 33-year-old Adam Thielen ($14M guaranteed) and D.J. Chark ($5M guaranteed) are expected to start on the perimeter, while 2nd-round rookie Jonathan Mingo has a "big slot" body. Thielen's yards per route run has declined in 6-straight years, bottoming out last year at a brutal 1.1. I'm concerned that he's simply just done. Chark hasn't been consistent due to injuries, but he at least has eclipsed 1.4 YPRR in 4-straight seasons. He also has a better in best ball profile for the occasional big play spike. But Mingo is my favorite of the three. He's big and athletic, is from the SEC, and went early in Round 2. The hardo analytics community doesn't like him, but with the context that he missed his junior season with a broken foot, Mingo looks far more interesting. Watch our video on him... Behind them are two busts: gadget Laviska Shenault and Terrace Marshall.
Hayden Hurst ($13M guaranteed) is well paid and a safe projection for a ton of routes. He also had those things last year with Joe Burrow, yet finished as the TE28 and 219th overall player in fantasy points over replacement per game. Hurst is a traditional full-time TE without a difference-making trait. He meshes well with Young's traits, however, and could be a security blanket underneath. In half PPR best ball, I'm searching for touchdowns. Hurst is likely maxed at 4-7 in this likely below-average passing offense. He'll be complemented by blocking-only Ian Thomas ($4M guaranteed) and young rotational depth Tommy Tremble.
Miles Sanders ($13M guaranteed) is the only player I expect to be redraft startable this year. Run-only RB D'Onta Foreman was the RB31 behind this 5-of-5 returning OL, and there's a chance this offense is slightly better. More importantly, Sanders is paid like a mid-range bellcow, not a rotational option. He's reunited with assistant head coach Duce Staley, who was helping call shots in Philly when Sanders had a career high 50-509-3 receiving line as a rookie. Sanders is a frustrating homerun hitting rusher, but his receiving numbers were likely hurt by Jalen Hurts' skillset. Sanders was the RB17 in fantasy points over replacement last year... Chuba Hubbard looked better in year two (4.9 YPC) and is the unquestioned No. 2 behind Sanders. Hubbard likely complements Sanders on some passing downs but more importantly would slide into a 12-16 touch role if Sanders were to miss time.
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RB18 Miles Sanders (62.5 overall) --> Mixing in
WR59 Jonathan Mingo (130.2) --> Mixing in
WR64 Adam Thielen (137.7) --> Soft fade
WR66 D.J. Chark (150.1) --> Mixing in
QB24 Bryce Young (177.9) --> Mixing in
RB57 Chuba Hubbard (182.2) --> Buying
TE26 Hayden Hurst (201.5) --> Mixing in