Everything you need to know before watching (and sweating) the 2025 Super Bowl between the Chiefs and Eagles. The game will kick off on Sunday February 9th at 6:30EST on Fox. If you are looking for action, download Underdog Fantasy with promo code HAYDEN to find hundreds of options for higher/lower player projections like these on Saquon Barkley.

Chiefs Passing Offense Super Bowl Stats

1. The passing projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Patrick Mahomes for 36.5 attempts, 248 passing yards, 24.5 completions, around 2.0 touchdowns, 0.5 interceptions, and 2.5 sacks.

2. The receiving yard projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are: Travis Kelce (64.5), Xavier Worthy (53.5), Hollywood Brown (40.5), DeAndre Hopkins (13.5), JuJu Smith-Schuster (12.5), Noah Gray (12.5), Kareem Hunt (6.5), Samaje Perine (6.5), and Isiah Pacheco (3.5).

3. The reception projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Travis Kelce (6.5), Xavier Worthy (5.5), Hollywood Brown (3.5), DeAndre Hopkins (1.5), Kareem Hunt (1.5), JuJu Smith-Schuster (1.5), Noah Gray (1.5), Isiah Pacheco (1.0), and Samaje Perine (0.5).

4. Patrick Mahomes is the best postseason QB ever. Easily:

5. Patrick Mahomes had his career-best game in success rate (71%) and his best EPA per dropback (+0.60) game in his playoff career against the Bills in the AFC Championship, per The Ringer's Steven Ruiz via TruMedia. His 3 best games of the year by DVOA have been in the last 4 contests, too. He's hot.

6. When Hollywood Brown is on the field, the Chiefs EPA per dropback goes from +0.10 to +0.25 per Sports Info Solutions. The same trend continues with Xavier Worthy; -0.04 to +0.17. Both being at the top of their game this season matters a lot.

7. But 2 of the 9 worst Patrick Mahomes games in terms of EPA have come against Eagles DC Vic Fangio per ClevTA, and this is the best roster Fangio has had at his disposal.

8. Compared to this rematch in 2022, Patrick Mahomes' EPA per dropback is way down; from +0.30 to +0.18.

9. The Chiefs are 5th in yards after the catch per completion but that can largely be explained by Patrick Mahomes' 6.5 average depth of target (30th). Philly has the best EPA allowed (-0.02) and success rate (47%) on throws under 10 air yards. Rally and tackle.

10. The Chiefs are 26th in explosive pass rate (12%) on the 31st deep target rate (8.4%). It's the most back-breaking dink-and-dunk offense there is. Meanwhile, the Eagles' defense has allowed the lowest explosive pass rate (10%) on the 3rd-best EPA allowed on throws over 10+ air yards.

11. The Chiefs are 2nd in neutral pass rate (57%), which I define as 1st or 2nd downs in a 1-score game removing garbage time and the 2-minute drill. A lot of their run plays are run pass options, too.

12. Routes run in the AFC Championship: Travis Kelce (89%), Xavier Worthy (87%), Hollywood Brown (71%), JuJu Smith-Schuster (61%), Kareem Hunt (39%), DeAndre Hopkins (32%), Isiah Pacheco (26%), Noah Gray (24%), Samaje Perine (18%), Justin Watson (16%), Peyton Hendershot (2%).

13. Travis Kelce is much better in the postseason than the regular season, and he's even better in zone coverage than in man. Over the last 6 games with Worthy as a full time player and Hollywood Brown mixing in, Kelce has a 2.0 yards per route versus zone. That jumps to 3.2 yards on a 38% target rate in the postseason games. He's averaging 5.1 receptions, 54 yards, and 7.3 targets over that 6-game span. but does have 117- and 84-yard games in the postseason. The Chiefs could test backup LB Oren Burks and rookie SCB Cooper DeJean with Kelce's middle-of-field dancing. 42% of his passing snaps come in the slot, where DeJean is basically a full-time player.

14. Xavier Worthy's per-game average over the last 6 games when he hovered 80% snaps: 6.2 receptions, 60 receiving yards, 0.5 touchdowns, 8.3 targets, and 2.0 carries. He's an ascending player with a notably growing role, who has some positive regression eventually coming on his downfield targets. Worthy's yards per route does drop to 1.5 against zone coverages during that 6-game span on a crazy-low 2.4 average depth of target, however. In the postseason, he's only had a 14% target rate against zone. That's going to be a majority of the coverages he'll see this time around. Expect him to face off with both Eagle rookies, as Worthy plays 42% in the slot (against Cooper DeJean) and 57% out wide (against Quinyon Mitchell). Both can match his speed. On paper, this doesn't scream as a big Worthy matchup. He'll mostly be used underneath. In fact, 11-of-19 screens by the Chiefs in the last 4 games have gone in the rookie's direction. Nobody else has more than 2.

15. Hollywood Brown is making an impact on tape by providing much-needed speed to the pass game. He's missed a couple of near shot plays, but Brown's 24% targets per route against zone coverage are notable for how little he's played with Patrick Mahomes. Andy Reid has trusted Brown right away (71% routes last week), and he could be leaned on here if these splits hold up. Only 26% of his postseason snaps have been in the slot, and his 12.0 average depth of target against zone coverage means he's the primary deep threat. He'll mainly get CBs Darius Slay and Quinyon Mitchell in coverage. That's a draw at best because those two have been excellent. Philly is 3rd best in EPA on targets 10+ air yards downfield.

16. JuJu Smith-Schuster gets his hand in the dirt as a blocker. His 11% targets per route against zone in the last 6 outings back that up. JuJu found open space in the playoffs, but those are positive outliers and not the expectation moving forward. It is notable that he's doubled DeAndre Hopkins' route rate (61%), so JuJu will be out there plenty as a 2nd- or 3rd-read in the progression.

17. DeAndre Hopkins has been better against zone coverage (1.5 yards per route), which plays into this matchup, but he's only running a route on 32% of dropbacks and doesn't play in 2-WR sets. Hopkins will only get a few opportunities here, and there's nothing on tape that should have us very optimistic with the results against this secondary.

18. Historically, Noah Gray has been a mini answer against zone coverage, and the Chiefs use 2-TE sets on 34% of their plays, the 4th highest rate in the NFL. The Eagles match with base on about half of those snaps, meaning Philly is generally comfortable with their safeties as tacklers, so they can stick in nickel regardless of the offensive personnel. But this could be a good test and safety valve for the Chiefs. I'll guess that Gray plays more than the 24% routes he had last week.

19. Chiefs C Creed Humphrey hasn't allowed a pressure in the playoffs yet. He's also one of the best run blockers in the NFL. He'll have his hands full with the interior defensive linemen the Eagles have, but Humphrey should hold his own if not win out right.

20. Chiefs LG Mike Caliendo has allowed a 7% pressure rate this year and will be partially tasked with stopping All Pro DT Jalen Carter (11% pressure rate) and star DT Milton Williams (14%). Expect Creed Humphrey to slide Caliendo's way often, leaving star RG Trey Smith (5%) in 1-on-1 spots. Don't forget about former 1st-round NT Jordan Davis (6'6"/336) and his abilities against the run.

21. Chiefs LT Joe Thuney is traditionally a left guard, but veteran LT D.J. Humphries is a worse option so they've slid him out to tackle in the playoffs. With Humphries off the field, the Chiefs' EPA per dropback has gone from -0.18 to +0.14 per Sports Info Solutions. Thuney has only allowed a 5.6% pressure rate during that span despite facing the Texans' and Bills' pass rushes. That's impressive. Chiefs RT Jawaan Taylor matches him with a 6% pressure rate, as well. As long as Taylor doesn't get called for pre-snap penalties, he's a plus starter. They'll face off with Josh Sweat (13% pressure rate) and speed rusher Nolan Smith (12%) in isolation often. Sweat will mostly rush against Thuney, while Smith gets Taylor who is quick for a tackle. That Eagles duo is good, not great and the Chiefs do match up well stylistically.

22. Patrick Mahomes takes the most QB hits (without a sack) in the NFL (12%), which helps explain those roughing the passer calls he gets.

Chiefs Rushing Offense Super Bowl Stats

23. The rushing projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Kareem Hunt (45.5), Patrick Mahomes (29.5), Isiah Pacheco (23.5), and Xavier Worthy (6.5).

24. The Chiefs are 24th in rushing success rate (26%) on RB carries intended for the A or B gap (up the middle runs).

25. And the Chiefs are 30th in explosive run rate (9.8%). In other words, they are struggling mightily despite having a solid offensive line.

26. The Chiefs are 32nd in rush yards after contact per carry (2.4). That's largely a RB stat and a sign that Isiah Pacheco isn't himself coming off a broken ankle and that Kareem Hunt is only a volume sponge.

27. Kareem Hunt's forced missed tackle rate (0.13) is better than Isiah Pacheco's (0.07). His success rate (43%) is slight better (38%), too. Both are under 3.8 yards per carry, however.

28. In the playoffs, Kareem Hunt has 71% of the RB carries compared to Isiah Pacheco's 29% (25 to 10). Their routes are a bit closer at 27 to 19, with Samaje Perine complementing with 17. They've combined for just 7 targets, as the pass-game has underneath options in Xavier Worthy and Travis Kelce, in addition to Patrick Mahomes' threat as a rusher himself.

29. The Chiefs use inside zone on 31% of their runs, the 3rd-highest rate, because many of them are attached to an RPO. On those run pass options, the Chiefs hand the ball off 70% of the time.

30. Xavier Worthy has 15 rush attempts on reverses, jet sweeps, end arounds, laterals, etc. They've gone for 67 yards on a below-average 33% success rate. He's due for one to spring for a chunk gain.

31. Patrick Mahomes has had 3 QB designed runs on non zone reads since dislocating his kneecap in 2019, per FS1's Nick Wright. They've only came in critical playoff moments like on 4th-and-2 in the Super Bowl, 4th-and-1 against the Bills last week, and on his touchdown run against the Bills last week.

32. Patrick Mahomes' rush attempts jump from 3.9 to 5.4 and his rushing yards jump from 20 to 29 when he gets to the postseason. His forced missed tackle rate goes from 1-in-85 to 1-in-11, too. Hilarious.

Eagles Passing Offense Super Bowl Stats

33. The passing projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Jalen Hurts for 26.5 attempts, 209 passing yards, 18.5 completions, around 1.0 touchdowns, 0.5 interceptions, and around 2.5 sacks.

34. The receiving yard projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are A.J. Brown (68.5), Dallas Goedert (52.5), DeVonta Smith (50.5), Saquon Barkley (14.5), and Jahan Dotson (2.5).

35. The reception projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are A.J. Brown (5.5), Dallas Goedert (4.5), DeVonta Smith (4.5), Saquon Barkley (1.5), and Jahan Dotson (0.5).

36. The Eagles are 29th in neutral pass rate (46%), which I define as 1st or 2nd downs in a 1-score game removing garbage time and the 2-minute drill.

37. Compared to this rematch in 2022, Jalen Hurts' EPA per play is slightly down; from +0.21 to +0.17. Some of the injuries throughout the year have contributed to that, however:

38. Jalen Hurts is 1st in completion percentage over expected (+7.7), which accounts for the depth of the throw. Hurts has been accurate this year, but this is also a credit to his elite receivers, elite offensive line, and unique playing style...

39. The Eagles have the 2nd-highest in sack rate (9%) despite having an elite offensive line. This is a Jalen Hurts problem only. We know this because the Eagles allow a QB hit (without a sack) at the 4th-lowest rate. When Hurts is being touched, he's being sacked. He also has the highest throwaway rate (8%) in the NFL. In other words, 17% of the Eagles dropbacks this year have resulted in a non-target. It's a tough look with the Chiefs hitting the QB at the highest rate (11%) and sacking the QB at the 14th-highest rate (7%).

40. The Eagles are 1st in blitz rate allowed (38%) because they've struggled against it historically with Jalen Hurts. This year, their passing EPA goes from +0.14 without a blitz to +0.07 with a blitz. The Chiefs are 8th in EPA allowed (-0.08) on the 6th-most blitzes, so this will be a major storyline. Some historical data shows the Eagles have been prepared previously.

41. The Eagles are 3rd-best in interception rate (1%).

42. Routes run in the NFC Championship through 3 quarters: A.J. Brown (100%), DeVonta Smith (97%), Dallas Goedert (90%), Jahan Dotson (71%), Saquon Barkley (58%), Johnny Wilson (16%), Kenneth Gainwell (13%), and Grant Calcaterra (13%).

43. A.J. Brown is 1st in yards per route (3.7) against man coverage across the entire NFL. Nobody is even close either. Brown's 37% targets per man coverage route dwarf DeVonta Smith's 20%, too. But the Chiefs run man coverage on 1-in-3 plays, outside CB Trent McDuffie is one of the league's best, and the Chiefs are 8th-best in success rate on throws over 10 air yards where A.J. Brown's 12.9 average depth of target is most often utilized. The winner of this matchup could be the difference in this game. In 12 games with Jalen Hurts and Devonta Smith, Brown has averaged 4.5 receptions, 74 receiving yards, 0.41 touchdowns, and 6.8 targets. That's 11 yards per target. Whew.

44. In 11 games with Jalen Hurts and A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith has averaged 4.5 receptions, 52 receiving yards, 0.42 touchdowns, and 5.5 targets. He's catching as many passes as Brown is, but he's utilized underneath (9.9 aDOT) and in the slot more often (53% in the postseason). That means he'll avoid Trent McDuffie on more snaps and generally has a lower ceiling in terms of explosive plays. That said, Smith gets the friendlier matchup with Chiefs slot CB Chamarri Conner, who is stockier and has allowed the most yards per coverage snap of the Chiefs starters in the secondary. This is an advantage the Eagles have on offense.

45. Dallas Goedert is the under appreciated weapon, and he's in a great spot. The Chiefs allowed the most receiving yards to TEs in the regular season and are 5th-worst in success rate on throws under 10 air yards where Goedert does most of his damage. Goedert will see the slower-paced LB Nick Bolton over the middle and slot CB Chamarri Conner has missed some tackles. In 6 games with Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith all healthy, Goedert has averaged 4.3 receptions, 50.8 receiving yards, 0.33 touchdowns, and 5.2 targets. That's eerily similar production to Smith straight up.

46. Jahan Dotson technically plays. He ran a route on 71% of non-garbage time dropbacks last week, but there's not room for a 6th skill guy to get involved. In 11 games with Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith all healthy, he's averaging 0.5 receptions, 8 receiving yards, 0.08 touchdowns, and 1.2 targets. With him seeing underrated outside CB2 Jaylen Watson in coverage, it'd be a surprise if Dotson popped up for production.

47. Johnny Wilson is the unique red zone and blocking role player as the 185th overall pick in this draft class. You'll see him in pure running downs and in the screen game, and if he's lucky, he'll get a red zone target. He's caught just 5-of-15 targets this season, with none coming in the postseason. He was out there for 16% of the routes last week before garbage time kicked in. This year, the Eagles' inside the 10-yard line targets go to Smith (5), Brown (4), Goedert (3), Wilson (3), and everyone else uninvolved.

48. Eagles LT Jordan Mailata's 4% pressure rate is unbelievably great, especially with the QB he plays with. He's simply one of the best offensive linemen in pass protection and routinely is out in space as a run-blocker. Dynamic athlete with a clear advantage over ACL recoveree Charles Omenihu (7% pressure rate) and Mike Danna (9%).

49. Eagles RT Lane Johnson is somehow even better with a 2% pressure allowed. That speaks for itself. He'll see a lot of George Karlaftis (14% pressure rate), who plays on Johnson's side 85% of the time. Karlaftis might be the Chiefs' 3rd-best defender, so if Johnson can handle him in isolation, then that's a big deal. He probably will.

50. Eagles LG Landon Dickerson (knee) is questionable after being unable to finish last week's game. Dickerson (5% pressure rate) plans to play with another week of rest this time around. If he can't suit up, Tyler Steen (7%) is his replacement. Either option will largely see Tershawn Wharton (9% pressure rate), who has 10 pressures in his last 3 games. I'd call this matchup a draw.

51. Eagles C Cam Jurgens (back) came in relief after being unable to physically start last game, but he's on track for his usual work in the Super Bowl. Jurgens (6% pressure rate) is athletic enough to pull in the Eagles' diverse ground game and now has experience in the Tush Push. Speaking of, the Eagles picked up a 1st down or touchdown on 70% of QB sneaks in 2024 after going 80% in the previous three seasons. That's defenses getting smarter and the Hall of Fame C Jason Kelce retirement for you.

52. Eagles RG Mekhi Becton (6% pressure rate) is the weakest link, especially in the dropback game, but he was a free acquisition and a front office success. Becton has elite size and power in the ground game and can be helped out in the pass game, but his underwhelming movement skills have me worried here. The Chiefs move All Pro DT Chris Jones (15% pressure rate and a position-high 70% double-team rate) across the formation based on matchup, so we should see Jones vs. Becton in a double team often. Advantage Chiefs.

Eagles Rushing Offense Super Bowl Stats

53. The rushing projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Saquon Barkley (115.5), Jalen Hurts (39.5), and Dallas Goedert (0.5).

54. The Eagles are 2nd in rush yards before contact per carry (1.9). Shoutout to Eagles OL Coach Jeff Stoutland and new OC Kellen Moore's diverse rushing scheme.

55. The Eagles use inside zone on 30% of their runs, the 4th-highest rate. It's often tied with a zone read option with Jalen Hurts. Those are used on 22% of their runs, also the 4th-highest rate.

56. Saquon Barkley is 7th in single-postseason rushing yards (442) and needs 169 in the Super Bowl to pass John Riggins' record (610). Barkley can realistically finish 3rd all time, if he grabs 27 more. For reference, his averages including the postseason are 129 rushing yards, 0.95 rushing touchdowns, and 22 carries. He also adds 2.1-16-0.1 on 2.7 targets as a receiver.

57. Saquon Barkley needs 30 more rushing yards to have the most in a single season (regular plus post).

58. Saquon Barkley gets it done no matter how many defenders are in the box. His success rate is highest (43%) against a 6-man box, but when he breaks off a big play against a loaded box, then it often goes the distance because of his speed. His EPA per rush by defenders in the box removing fumbles: 6 (+0.10), 7 (+0.13), and 8 (+0.08) per Tej Seth. In other words, there is no game plan that stops Saquon behind this offensive line.

59. RB2 Kenneth Gainwell (concussion) is questionable, leaving rookie Will Shipley in a more involved role. By the way, Gainwell's EPA per rush is negative in all box defender counts. Running backs do in fact matter to some degree.

60. Jalen Hurts has an 8% scramble rate, the 5th highest in the NFL.

61. Jalen Hurts' rushing production doesn't change in the postseason. It's 40 yards per game in the regular season and 39 yards in the playoffs. Those are in line with his 2024 numbers, too. The Chiefs allowed the 7th-most rushing yards to QBs this year.

Chiefs Defense Super Bowl Stats

62. The total tackle projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Nick Bolton (8.5), Drue Tranquill (8.5), Justin Reid (6.5), Trent McDuffie (4.5), Jaden Hicks (3.5).

63. The Chiefs are playing more two-high zone defense and less Cover 3 in the postseason, as are the Eagles:

64. The Chiefs missed the 2nd-fewest tackles in the NFL.

65. The Chiefs play the most press coverage (89%), something that the Eagles will welcome. It'll be a bat fight out in the route.

66. Chiefs CB1 Trent McDuffie has played in the slot on just 2 snaps this postseason after rotating in there on 15% of his regular season snaps. That's a similar ratio for A.J. Brown (13% slot in the postseason). Expect them to face off often. You just don't see McDuffie against the run very often (3% of RB runs were his tackle).

67. Chiefs slot CB Chamarri Conner will see more DeVonta Smith (53% slot in the postseason). In general, Conner is more of a tackler than a pure pass coverage guy. He has the opposite frame as Smith does for what it's worth, leading to the highest tackle rate on RB runs (12%) among all NFL corners.

68. Chiefs outside CB2 Jaylen Watson just returned from injury but was out there for 16-of-17 coverage reps in the 2nd half last week. When on the field, the Chiefs' EPA allowed goes from +0.05 to -0.03. He'll see some of Jahan Dotson and DeVonta Smith depending on the alignment of the receivers.

69. Chiefs S Justin Reid is just a dog. Watch him fly around the field in all phases. One reason why DC Steve Spagnuolo can play his wide variety of coverages is because of Reid, who went to Stanford and has 4.4 speed.

70. Chiefs S Jaden Hicks is a 4th-round rookie with a 71% snap rate in the NFL playoffs. The 133rd overall selection was my 76th overall player in my 2024 Top 100 NFL Draft Rankings after finishing top 10 in run stops as an aggressive, physical tackler. I'll be counting that as a win.

71. Chiefs LB Nick Bolton makes a tackle on 12% of RB carries he's on the field for, the most of the Chiefs starters. He can be slow at times in coverage, but he's a physical presence.

72. Chiefs LB Drue Tranquill provides more coverage speed than Bolton but his frame is much smaller. We'll see if he can navigate the Eagles' dominant rushing offensive line. He only makes a tackle on 9% of RB runs.

73. The Eagles' offense has a +0.42 EPA per dropback against Cover 1 man coverage, which would make Jalen Hurts the run away MVP if teams tried to run this defense against them. Compare that to their +0.09 EPA per dropback against two-high shell zone coverages or to their -0.01 EPA per dropback against Cover 3 zone coverage, and you can see what the non blitz game plan will look like for Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo.

74. The Eagles' offense has a +0.04 EPA per dropback when the safety picture changes from pre-snap to post-snap. That's a lever Spagnuolo can pull.

75. The Eagles took the most sacks (19) against blitzes with Cover 3 zone defense behind it. That accounted for 58% of the sacks against the blitz this year.

76. The Eagles' offense has a -0.06 EPA per dropback when facing a defensive line stunt (24th), but the Chiefs used a stunt at the lowest rate (14%).

Eagles Defense Super Bowl Stats

77. The total tackle projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Zack Baun (9.5), Oren Burks (9.5), Reed Blankenship (6.5), Cooper DeJean (4.5), Nolan Smith (4.5), Darius Slay (4.5), Jalen Carter (3.5), and Quinyon Mitchell (3.5).

78. The Eagles are 1st in EPA (-0.12), yards per play (4.5), and yards per pass (6.0) allowed.

79. The Eagles have forced the most fumbles (2.5%).

80. The Eagles defense is 10th in rush yards per carry to RBs.

81. The Chiefs' offense faced nickel defense (5 defensive backs. Get it? Nickel?) on 78% of their early-down plays. That's the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL. The Eagles are in nickel defense on 83% of their early-down plays, so we know who will be on the field the most; nickel CB Cooper DeJean instead of a 3rd linebacker.

82. The Chiefs' offense has a +0.29 EPA per dropback against Cover 1 man coverage. The Eagles typically don't play man coverage this way already, and I don't see that changing here.

83. The Chiefs' offense has a +0.01 EPA per dropback against two-high shell zone coverages (Cover 2, quarters, quarter-quarter half). That's the Eagles speciality under DC Vic Fangio.

84. The Chiefs' offense has a +0.14 EPA per dropback with exactly 4 pass rushers. That drops to -0.06 versus a drop 8 (that's 3 pass rushers) and +0.12 against 5+ pass rushers (that's usually a blitz). The change up to use, if there is when, is the super soft pass rush plan on critical plays. The Eagles were 5th-lowest in blitz rate (25%) already.

85. Eagles CB Darius Slay has lined up at the left corner spot on 89% of his snaps this year, but the Chiefs move around all their receivers evenly so he'll see a bunch of different players in coverage. Slay has been more of a boom-bust option, with plenty of on-ball production while also allowing more big plays. In general, he's a solid starter, as is his counter part...

86. Eagles 1st-round rookie CB Quinyon Mitchell has been great while playing the right corner spot on 91% of his snaps. He was 1-of-2 players to run a 4.33 in the forty while hitting 20 reps on the bench press at the NFL Combine. This postseason, here are the results:

87. Eagles slot CB Cooper DeJean has been a 2nd-round steal (after I ranked him as the 25th overall player in the 2025 NFL Draft). When on the field, the Eagles EPA sits at -0.09 compared to -0.04 without him. He's a full-time slot player with few snaps elsewhere, meaning he'll see Travis Kelce, Xavier Worthy, and JuJu Smith-Schuster for most of the game.

88. Eagles S C.J. Gardner-Johnson moved back to free safety, but he is an aggressive player capable of flying down to make tackles even if he's the primary deep safety in Cover 3.

89. Eagles S Reed Blankenship is 2nd in tackles on pass plays this year, only trailing their All Pro LB. Blankenship tends to be the one to rotate down in single-high looks, leading to more tackles against TEs and slot WRs. In fact, he leads the Eagles in tackles against TEs and WRs combined. He should be heavily involved in the game plan based on the Chiefs' offense.

90. Eagles LB Zach Baun makes a tackle on 17% of RB runs, the 7th best across the NFL. He's been a lights out signing as an off-ball defender, and he's had more pressure after Nakobe Dean went to injured reserve earlier this month. Baun has delivered with a forced fumble and plenty of tackles. He'll be a major part in defending the YAC-styled Chiefs unit. Expecting a huge box score out of him once again.

91. Ealges LB Oren Burks has been a great fill-in for Nakobe Dean. On just 63 plays, he's made a tackle on 23% of RB carries, which is the highest rate of any LB with over 50 snaps. That's cool, but it won't matter if he can't help defend Travis Kelce over the middle.

Other Super Bowl Stats

92. The Chiefs are 1st in plays per drive (6.7), leading to the 10th most plays per game (66.6). The Eagles are 5th in plays per game (67.5) on the 2nd-highest no huddle rate (25%). And the Chiefs defense allows the 2nd-most plays per drive (6.6), so this should be a higher play rate than normal even if the drives are longer, equating to fewer points in general.

93. Eagles K Jake Elliott has only made 1-of-8 attempts of 50+ yards, while the rest of the NFL is 71% from that distance. He was 12-of-14 from that distance in the previous two seasons, so this is just a slump.

94. Chiefs K Harrison Butker has made 94% of his kicks within 49 yards over his past 4 seasons and 68% of them from 50+. Those are slightly above average numbers within range and at league average from deep.

95. The betting markets project this game to be Chiefs 25, Eagles 23.5 with a 56% chance of the Chiefs winning, but at least one notable model has the Eagles very slightly ahead:

96. The last time they were in the Super Bowl, the game was 38-35, Chiefs.

97. The half PPR fantasy points projections in the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em lobby are Jalen Hurts (21.6), Patrick Mahomes (21.4), Saquon Barkley (19.0), Travis Kelce (12.4), A.J. Brown (12.2), Xavier Worthy (11.0), Dallas Goedert (9.3), DeVonta Smith (9.2), Kareem Hunt (9.1), and Hollywood Brown (8.6).

98. The Super Bowl MVP favorites are Patrick Mahomes (+120), Saquon Barkley (+260), Jalen Hurts (+350).

99. When I submitted all of this text into ChatGPT and asked it to evaluate who I think will win, AI said I believe the final score will be Eagles 27, Chiefs 24. It says, "While there's a lot of praise for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' offense, the text highlights some vulnerabilities in their game, particularly against the Eagles' defensive strategies. Specifically, the Chiefs' struggles with explosive pass rates, their inability to consistently produce on the ground, and issues with their offensive line and rushing game are contrasted with the Eagles' strength in stopping these aspects. Additionally, the Eagles' defensive prowess, led by Vic Fangio, combined with the impressive work from their secondary, seems to be a key factor. There's also significant attention on the Eagles' offensive advantages, like Jalen Hurts' strong completion percentage and the dominance of A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert. The Eagles' defense is ranked higher in several categories, and their ability to pressure Mahomes with their defensive front is a notable strength. In short, while the Chiefs are certainly a strong team, the text seems to lean toward the Eagles having the advantage in this matchup, especially given their defensive capabilities and the Chiefs' struggles in certain key areas."

I'll give my actual final score prediction with some Pick'em ideas in the next column.