Posted every Tuesday, The Fantasy Usage Model combines my expected fantasy points model with his film notes to recap the previous week's game. An explanation of this is here, but it basically turns targets, carries, air yards, goal line touches, and other variables into expected fantasy points.

Fantasy Usage Model - Post Week 2

You can filter by team, position, or stat, and you can remove columns. Best viewed on desktop.

Week 3 Regression Candidates

RB (Positive Regression) - Joe Mixon (-6.6 half PPR fantasy points over expected), Jeff Wilson (-5.4), Javonte Williams (-4.8), Leonard Fournette (-4.1).

RB (Negative Regression) - D'Andre Swift (+10.7 lol), Aaron Jones (+8.9), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+8.9), Nick Chubb (+7.2), James Robinson (+3.9).

WR (Positive Regression) - CeeDee Lamb (-5.7), Brandin Cooks (-4.7), Diontae Johnson (-4.4), Chase Claypool (-4.4), Ja'Marr Chase (-3.9), Chris Olave (-3.6), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (-3.2), Adam Thielen (-3.0).

WR (Negative Regression) - Stefon Diggs (+12.6 lmao), Tyreek Hill (+10.0 also lmao), Rashod Bateman (+8.7), Amon-Ra St. Brown (+8.1), Jahan Dotson (+6.4), Jaylen Waddle (+6.1), Curtis Samuel (+4.9), Noah Brown (+4.3), Christian Kirk (+3.7), Robbie Anderson (+3.6), Greg Dortch (+3.5), Corey Davis (+3.1).

TE (Positive Regression) - Tyler Higbee (-6.0), T.J. Hockenson (-4.3), Zach Ertz (-4.2), Kyle Pitts (-4.2), Juwan Johnson (-3.2).

TE (Negative Regression) - O.J. Howard (+6.2), Dallas Goedert (+3.0).