
2026 fantasy football rankings changed a ton after the NFL Draft was completed. The rookie class had five top-20 overall picks; RB Jeremiyah Love to the Cardinals (3rd), WR Carnell Tate to the Titans (4th), WR Jordyn Tyson to the Saints (8th), TE Kenyon Sadiq to the Jets (16th), and WR Makai Lemon to the Eagles (20th). I've seen better landing spots, but there's a lot to work through now.
These are geared towards half PPR best ball, and the ADP is pulled from Underdog Fantasy. I included last year's per-game and overall finish using a fantasy points over replacement methodology outlined here.
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His size, toughnesses, arm talent, and occasion scramble ability reminded me of the skinnier version of Ben Roethlisberger. He can make all the throws and very rarely made mistakes. His production profile and draft capital spit out a 95th percentile QB prospect, and he has the traits to enter the top-5 QB conversation in due time. That said, the Indiana offense had a lot of half-field reads built in and Mendoza did drop his eyes after the 2nd/3rd second often. I'm sure Tom Brady sees the same thing, and I'm sure their serious about Mendoza entering training camp as the backup to Kirk Cousins. If Cousins plays well, then Mendoza really could miss a large chunk of the year. That's an issue! But the Raiders roster is still mediocre, and Cousins is a below-average starter with injury issues. I'd still make Mendoza the favorite to start in November and on, even if every report out of Vegas is Mendoza will sell us another story.
This was a pretty large reach versus consensus, and I didn't include him in my Top 100 for a few reasons. He's a 24-year-old rookie who has played on the best teams in the country, so if there were real traits, it wouldn't have taken so long to declare. He also only had a 49th percentile Total EPA last year despite extra games and an elite OL. Beck's film shows a lackluster (arguably injured) arm, a little panic in the pocket, and very little scramble/design run ability. Overall, the ceiling is low, and I wouldn't say he's "NFL ready" despite his experience.
All that said, Beck is in line to start games in 2026. This is a roster headlined by Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew. If this front office, coaching staff, or ownership is feeling the pressure of another lost season, the rookie will get a chance to start. That is likeliest at the end of the season once this stacked division pulls away, which makes him only interesting in large-field best ball contests. The weaponry is strong and the OL is fine.
The ranges of comps are Brock Purdy, Kirk Cousins, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and J.J. McCarthy. He has enough arm strength and mobility to make it as a starter, and he actually made more full-field and back-turn throws than Fernando Mendoza did in college. But his size caught up to him late in the year and when forced into tight-window throws. His mechanics strained and balls sailed. One to two years behind Matthew Stafford should allow for him to get physically stronger, but who knows what the roster will look like when he's ready. The press conference certainly made it seem like GM Les Snead was the originator of this plan, and we all are here for HC Sean McVay. It's a good spot for his odds of reaching a second contract upside, but it's bad for best ball and dynasty.
With the 3rd overall draft capital locked in, Love is confirmed as a 100th percentile prospect in my model next to the likes of Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, Christian McCaffrey, Reggie Bush, Melvin Gordon, Ashton Jeanty, Darren McFadden, Bijan Robinson, Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, and Jonathan Taylor. Elite company. This cohort of players ranged from 6.5 to 21.3 half PPR points per game during their rookie seasons (huge range), with an average of 14.3. Last year, that would've made him the RB12 (Javonte Williams), while the RB7 (Derrick Henry) averaged 16.0 and the RB5 (De'Von Achane) averaged 18.1. A realistic range has been established.
Love's skillset is ideal for fantasy football because he is an exceptional receiver out of the backfield with the 212-pound frame to project for 18+ touches per week. There is a chance the heavier and well-paid Tyler Allgeier (and even James Conner) could steal some goal line touches from him, just like Bijan dealt with as a rookie, but there is no chance he's not their pass-game back. His protection at Notre Dame was solid, and his explosiveness and hands are on another stratosphere than his backfield competition. This Arizona defense doesn't feel any different from last year when they were 29th in scoring, so there should be garbage time receptions baked in here. Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew are certainly bad, but they are at least functional enough for garbage time numbers in 2026.
It's far from an ideal landing spot this season with Arizona striking out on RTs in the early parts of the draft, but it's not awful either. This is unlikely to reach Jeanty-Raiders bad (RB17 per game), but it's a factor to consider if the market pushes him up into Round 1. I'd put love firmly above the Josh Jacobs tier but firmly below the proven elite RB1s. He's a mid Round 2 player.
Can't say I loved the profile as much as the Seahawks did. Price was elusive and showcased quality vision on tape. He had passable athleticism to rip off explosives in college behind a quality line, but it's a small sample and a reduced role. Price didn't get short yardage or receiving work next to Jeremiyah Love, and that's what we want in fantasy football. Price's size (203 pounds) could deter him from the goal-line role, and he caught four (4) passes in back-to-back seasons without a lot of protection reps either. Imagination is required here to reach a meaningful upside, which is why I compared him to Kenyan Drake and Blake Corum pre-draft.
The landing spot is fantastic, however. Zach Charbonnet was a better prospect and has been a solid pro, but he did tear his ACL in January and his surgery didn't happen until February 20th. If he returns exactly nine (9) months from that, then we're into Week 11-12 of the season. Until then, Price is competing with Emmanuel Wilson and the boys, all of whom are guaranteed for $0 to $550k this season. He would have to be a colossal bust to not carve out a valuable role before then, especially on a Super Bowl contending team.
This profile required some warming up to. He was a late breakout and was only an efficient committee member at Arkansas as a redshirt senior, but when Washington had daylight, he was scoring. His (NFL Combine) athleticism is on par with Adrian Peterson, though the rookie has some tightness on tape which held back his broken tackle chances. He can catch the ball but didn't showcase a variety of routes and was up-and-down in pass protection. The Raiders drafted him to be Ashton Jeanty's change-of-pace explosive sidekick and insurance. Washington theoretically could have a couple of usable weeks in a reduced role, but 95% of his value is tied to Jeanty missing time. If that happens, there's no excuse to not beat out Dylan Laube and Chris Collier for bellcow snaps. He should be priced as a decent pure handcuff.
The lack of athleticism is hard to overcome, but Allen is a trusted, savvy runner and was drafted purely for early-down competition. Rachaad White will be the starter and the clear-cut top option in the passing game, while Allen competes with Jacory Croskey-Merritt for early-down touches as the RB2. Croskey-Merritt has more juice than Allen, but Allen is larger and dominated touches at Penn State for multiple seasons. It'll be an open competition with a new offensive coordinator, and the White contract (1-year, $2M) is not that of a starting back. There is a real path to touches here.
He was my 100th overall player in the class, profiling as competition in either phase of the game. Coleman is a trusted between-tackles rusher who hits the hole on time and with a low center of gravity. What he does in the open field is below average, but he is the type of player that a conservative coach gravitates towards. He can pass protect for his size, though being 5'8" has clear problems against bigger blitzers. For Sean Payton's very distinct 3-RB committee, Coleman is competition for JK Dobbins' early-down rushing role and Tyler Badie's pass protection role. Dobbins was a fine early-down starter before injury last year and is likely to open ahead of Coleman to start the season. RJ Harvey would have the next bite at the apple after a very boom-bust rookie campaign last year, followed by Coleman. A lot of things need to break his way to be relevant, but neither Dobbins or Harvey are established studs.
A 24-year-old RB who goes way earlier than expected is a classic Kyle Shanahan 3rd-round pick, but Black's style is the exact opposite of what he typically goes for. He's an average athlete with an extremely short stride length who wins with quick decision making rather than dazzle. He earned the trust of Fernando Mendoza's Hoosiers by playing well in pass protection and picking up the yards blocked for him. The Niners don't have that exact role on the roster right now, but that is typically the profile of the RB3, not the direct Christian McCaffrey handcuff. Whoever earns CMC's backup role is very draftable in the 14ish round. That is not guaranteed to be Black, as much as I respected what he accomplished on tape given his stature.
An analytics darling, Johnson never did it for me on tape. He passes the threshold of being crafty enough to theoretically see touches on early downs in a change-of-pace role, but it's hard to see Johnson playing in short-yardage situations given his size and inability to plow through defenders. Johnson did catch the ball cleanly and ran more routes than basic checkdowns. It's his best path as a pro, especially on the Chiefs where nothing is established behind early-down extraordinaire Kenneth Walker. Johnson versus 2025 7th-rounder Brashard Smith is worth tracking in full PPR leagues and at the very end of best ball drafts. I'd make Johnson the slight favorite for 10+ touches per game in the event Walker missed time because unlike Smith, Johnson carried the load in college for multiple seasons.
The early-down work during his Penn State time was pretty rough, which is why Kaytron Allen stole his job despite having half the athletic juice. Singleton's athleticism did show itself far more as a pass-catching role player out of the backfield, however. He averaged 1.5 yards per route while being dialed up for explosives through the air. His QB, Drew Allar, routinely missed him, but there was real route running and hands to work with. The Titans didn't use defined roles in the backfield, rather switching between starter Tony Pollard and backup Tyjae Spears for chunks at a time. Singleton is a dog to enter the mix as a rookie, and if he does, it's more likely to be in a low-volume receiving role.
I haven't watched him yet, but the Ravens depth chart is missing Keaton Mitchell. It'll be difficult to jump the trusted Justice Hill as a rookie, however. It can't be good that Randall was selected by the owner instead of the GM/scouts/coaches (not kidding). That's got to lower the odds of things working out!
While intriguing and certainly unique, Sadiq was an overrated prospect to me. His production was very mediocre (40 YPG and 1.8 yards per route) because there are some receiving-based weaknesses he's working through; zone feel, consistent hands, and fluidity/flexibility at the top of routes. Sadiq's youthfulness makes him a better dynasty than re-draft play, especially in this environment. Garrett Wilson is a certified target dominator. Then Breece Hall, 2025 2nd-round TE Mason Taylor, and fellow 1st-round rookie WR Omar Cooper Jr. can all compete for the underneath looks Sadiq needs to matter. All of this is before the questions about his path to a full-time role as a maxed-out 245-pounder. It'd be shocking if he didn't come down with multiple highlight reel plays as a rookie and beyond, but fantasy football at TEs is about TDs and the Jets will be one of the bottom-10 offenses in pre-season expectations.
I argued Stowers should drop 10ish pounds and convert to receiver. It sounds like that's not what is going to happen with Stowers, who joins one of the worst blocking TE rooms in the NFL. The Eagles use multiple tight ends but were awful blocking out of it last year with Grant Calcaterra. That's Stowers primary competition for snaps while he develops in 2026. Both Calcaterra and Dallas Goedert are on expiring contracts, however, so Stowers' path to snaps opens up after his rookie season. It's possible he gets stronger and more technical by then. In the mean time, Stowers is going to struggle to get onto the field most likely. Goedert is very effective as a split TE in the receiving game, and both DeVonta Smith and Makai Lemon will be set up for designed targets out of the slot already. Stowers should get some jump balls and some designed targets himself if he's the TE3 on game day, but that translating into fantasy points this year seems low. Remember, this is one of the lowest receiving TD teams in the red zone annually.
It's debated how good Tate even is. I'm an optimist. First off, Tate is a 5-star recruit from the IMG Academy who snuck until the field early as a Buckeye. In last year's breakout season, he had a 72nd percentile yards per team pass attempt as a 21-year-old early-declare while sharing an offense with a college Julio Jones, and when I adjust for his team strength and age, his production profile is in the 92nd percentile. That's about average for a top-10 selection in the NFL draft. Tate is certainly less athletic than his peers, but his ball skills are at the tip top. He compared to DeAndre Hopkins and Calvin Ridley, both who are crafty in the route and win at the catch point despite not having 4.4 speed. The fact that he cleared 3.0 yards per route in both man and zone coverage is telling that his feel for the game is fantastic.
In terms of target competition, Tate is in a great spot. Wan'Dale Robinson is the only long-term weapon, and he's a slot only type without a real ceiling. If Tate is as good as we all think, then he can be a 25% target share player long term. In fact, I'd project him for about 18-22% targets as a rookie even with Calvin Ridley still kicking. The value of said targets is unclear with Cam Ward's tape better than his (disastrous) numbers. Ward has a new staff and a new weapon to improve, but he can't miss as many throws and take as many sacks as he did during his rookie campaign. Ultimately, Tate's rookie season is comparable to rookie-season Tetairoa McMillan (WR24 per game in half PPR), Chris Olave (WR24), Garrett Wilson (WR30), Drake London (WR41), and Rome Odunze (WR61).
With draft capital baked in, Tyson pops in as a 95th-97th percentile WR prospect in my model, depending on if you want to discount it some given the bad class. His odds of fantasy relevance are high for as long as that near knee dislocation and lingering hamstring don't pop up again. Tyson is a salesman route runner, particularly underneath and intermediate, and can haul in some acrobatic catches with his loose athleticism. He is a dense receiver with the ball in his hands when he wants to be, and there's hope that he plays with more intensity in the pros after routinely sliding/diving after the catch at Arizona State. His fit behind Chris Olave is a nice one. Olave is a better downfield receiver with a more consistent release package, but Tyson can work underneath him and be a factor in the red zone where Olave's slenderness historically has worked against him. Coach Kellen Moore has a deep history getting the most out of flanker/slot types like Tyson, and there's moderate optimism around Tyler Shough after his rookie campaign. The ranges of outcomes remain wide on Tyson, but there is a path to fantasy WR3/flex value, especially given Olave's own injury concerns.
We should be working under the assumption A.J. Brown will be traded after June 1st (likely to the Patriots), and there's no real competition for Lemon to be the sidekick to DeVonta Smith. Lemon will play the slot in 3-WR sets, but he should beat out Marquise Brown and Dontayvion Wicks in 2-WR sets, too, even if that doesn't happen in Week 1. Lemon is tough, smart, and catches everything. He was nasty working quick outs, something Jalen Hurts is comfortable with. There will be some new wrinkles with a new offensive coordinator, but the Hurts offense is the Hurts offense. Don't expect a ton of volume, and don't expect Lemon to go toe-to-toe with Smith, who is a little slept on as a potential top-10 real life NFL receiver. For context here, Brown was the WR15 on WR17 usage, while Smith was the WR30 on WR35 usage. That was a down year for all involved.
His analytical profile is strong; early declare, freshman breakout, great college dominator, and played in the SEC. We didn't get official athletic testing, but take my word for it ... Concepcion is excellent in his movements. He was an elite returner, made defenders miss underneath with jukes, and then ran by the top corners in the class on crossers and gos. For how fun he is, Concepcion plays without wasted movement, too. He profiles as a high-upside top receiver for an offense. Unfortunately, we're talking about the Browns here. The OL is entirely new, yet fully unproven. The QB room is unsettled and could even feature a pure rushing QB at the end of the year if Taylen Green sneaks past Shedeur Sanders, Deshaun Watson, and Dillon Gabriel. The new coaching staff under Todd Monken is far more run focused than Kevin Stefanski's was. And Concepcion has to overtake Jerry Jeudy and fight off Denzel Boston. It's a lot to sort through, so there's zero floor. Jeudy was the damn WR77 on WR49 usage last season without either rookie in the mix.
He was one of the most straight-forward evaluations of the class. Williams is a traditional slot receiver with average athletic traits. He is a trusted zone player with some toughness, even if he's not shifty or explosive despite being 5'11"/187. This is typically a full PPR only profile, but the landing spot is so ideal that he could be relevant as a rookie in half PPR best ball. The Commanders seem to be waiting for Brandon Aiyuk, but the 49ers could hold onto him until September 1st if they want to be petty. At that point, Washington would be done with camp, and Aiyuk isn't the guy to fully trust away from the facilities. Williams will have to beat out Luke McCaffrey for the slot job (low bar), but there's a chance he starts the season next to Terry McLaurin in an offense that had the WR33 and WR34 per-game in a down year for Jayden Daniels.
I never understood the top-25 love. Cooper was out-produced by Elijah Sarratt over the past two seasons, and he wasn't a high-end recruit or early declare, so the analytical profile was underwhelming. On film, Cooper did break some crazy tackles as a primary underneath/slot player, but he wasn't a stand out route runner or ball winner. He isn't going to get as many manufactured touches while battling with real No. 1 receiver Garrett Wilson, Breece Hall, and 1st-round TE Kenyon Sadiq. On top of that, the Jets are coached by stagnant OC Frank Reich. It's a lot to overcome in half PPR best ball with Geno Smith coming off his worst season of the decade. The Raiders didn't have a top-50 receiver in fantasy football last year.
Understandably, the analytics/dynasty community is completely out on the 23.5-year-old late breakout who only averaged 54 YPG in his final season at Ole Miss. Most of these types flame out early. Stribling has some things going for him to potentially buck that trend, however. First off, Stribling is a high character, willing blocker who can flirt with snaps on that alone. It's a role Jauan Jennings ran with over the past couple of seasons and a role unaccompanied by right now. Beyond that, Stribling is a fantastic athlete with 87th percentile hands and 4.36 wheels at 6'2"/207. He looks the part and really pulled away from Georgia defenders for a 75-yarder. He finished some plays with a mean truck stick, but also was knocked off his route too often for my liking. All in all, Stribling was someone I projected as a real starting No. 3 receiver pre-draft as my No. 64 overall player. That was ahead of consensus.
Kyle Shanahan raises me to 33rd overall, and they even said that they would've taken him in Round 1 if not for the slight trade down. That is very real draft capital, even if we properly discount it for being a reach on consensus in a very bad overall draft class. Stribling's primary competition is Christian Kirk for 3-WR set snaps, but it's not that crazy to think he can mix into 2-WR set snaps if his blocking skills are as valued as the staff said they are. It doesn't take full-time snaps in this offense to hit a couple of random spiked weeks in best ball. Jennings and Ricky Pearsall were the WR39 and WR56 per game last year.
Falling 50 spots is never good. Bell seemed like a Round 1 talent who would go in late Round 2, but that didn't come to fruition for whatever reason. In fact, the Dolphins drafted a WR (Caleb Douglas) ahead of Bell in Round 3! That said, if this was almost entirely ACL related, then there's a chance his talent wins out earlier than the typical 94th overall pick. That's especially true in Miami. His competition is Malik Washington, Jalen Tolbert, TuTu Atwell, and Douglas. It is without question the worst pass-catching group in the NFL, and Bell is without question the most talented pass catcher on the roster. He's running on a treadmill and claims to be on pace for Week 1. In half PPR best ball, we largely only care about Weeks 15-17 for this type of profile. He should be starting by then.
If things go correctly, Boston is on the Michael Pittman plane. Unfortunately, there are a lot of crashes on that plane, too. The landing spot creates turbulence. The Browns' top receivers finished WR77, WR106, and WR141 per game last year, while Harold Fannin ate instead. Boston is not likely to be a target hog with Fannin, Jerry Jeudy, and the much-better KC Concepcion in the mix. His dynasty profile is better than his redraft/best ball profile.
TE Brock Bowers: The combination of Kirk Cousins plus Fernando Mendoza with a real NFL playcaller in Klint Kubiak is such a better set up than whatever we're calling 2025. Bowers is likely to be healthier, and the Raiders are somehow even worse at receiver heading into 2026 if we view Jalen Nailor as a downgrade to Jakobi Meyers. I do. Long story short, Bowers can threaten the TE targets record in 2026. In full PPR redraft leagues, Bowers should be a 1st-round pick. In half PPR best ball, Bowers is a super smash at this 23rd overall ADP. There's no way it's not way higher soon. For the same reasons, the projected 3-WR set starters (Nailer, Tre Tucker, and Jack Bech) are all underpriced, too.
WR George Pickens: The timing of signing the franchise tag rightfully drew speculation that a draft weekend trade was likely, but that came and went. It sounds like the Jones family was being nice and just called Pickens' agent to chat. Fair enough! Pickens is no longer a hold out risk and less likely of a trade target after the 2026 draft passed, so what's stopping him from being a Round 2 pick? Dallas didn't add anyone on offense this offseason and is running back the same staff and starters around him. He was the WR6 on WR12 usage last season with CeeDee Lamb missing time. The same logic applies to Ryan Flournoy, who was the WR57 on WR74 usage last season.
RB Cam Skattebo: It'll be the same top-3 RBs for the Giants, which led to Skattebo running away with bellcow touches before a dislocated ankle ended a potential rookie of the year season. He was the RB9 on RB15 usage, and the Giants will be better defensively and on the interior OL after drafting LB Arvell Reese and OG Francis Mauigoa in the top 10. Dislocated ankles typically don't mean an IR stint to start the year, but there is a drop off in efficiency more times than not. Still, this discount from low-end RB1 to RB21 in ADP is something I want to target.
WR Josh Downs and TE Tyler Warren: The Colts traded Michael Pittman and didn't replace him in free agency or the draft. That'll force Indianapolis to play Downs or Nick Westbrook-Ikhine in 2-WR sets next to Alec Pierce. I know Downs is tiny, but come on?!?! Let's make this happen! At the same time, Warren's overlap with Michael Pittman underneath and in the red zone hurt him at the margins as a rookie, but that barrier is long gone. All this while Alec Pierce underwent an April ankle procedure that will sideline him for three months. I don't love the sound of that.
RBs Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez: The Jaguars swapped Travis Etienne for Chris Rodriguez, and while they were rumored to be in the Jadarian Price mix early in Round 2, they did come up empty at RB in the draft. The depth chart is set: Tuten as the explosive back, C-Rod as the grinder, and LeQuint Allen in pass protection. Last year, Etienne was able to earn RB14 per-game volume, while Tuten was just the RB60. I'd be surprised if it was that drastic of a split between Tuten and Rodriguez this season. Liam Coen's ties date back to the college ranks with Rodriguez, who also had better efficiency metrics than Tuten last year.
WRs Jayden Reed and Matthew Golden: The Packers didn't draft a WR early, traded away Dontayvion Wicks, and let Romeo Doubs walk in free agency. We typically are dealing with 5 WRs for 2.5 spots, but today, there is clarity. Christian Watson as the healthy deep threat, Jayden Reed as an explosive slot, and 1st-rounder Matthew Golden as the upside case after being missed downfield far too often as a disappointing rookie. This offense featured the WR17, WR37, and WR44 per game last year despite Jordan Love's injuries.
RB Tony Pollard: Operation Dodge Jeremiyah was a success, and the presence of Nicholas Singleton isn't that scary after watching his tape. If Singleton sticks in the pros, it'll be as a pass catcher. I'm signing up for the Titans' early-down role, and that was all Pollard late into the year. The Titans' beat expects Spears and Singleton to compete for the backup job, leaving Pollard as the clear-cut starter. The offense should be better with a new coaching staff, Carnell Tate at 4th overall, and Cam Ward heading into his second season. There is "benched" risk here, but Pollard was the RB28 on RB31 usage last year while playing on an unwatchable team.
RBs Rachaad White and Jacory Croskey-Merritt: The Commanders also couldn't get Jeremiyah Love, and the crop of available free agents are bleak. It'll be White, only on a 1-year, $2M contract, as the pass-down option, while Bill and 6th-round rookie Kaytron Allen compete for whatever is left on early downs. Both were late-round dart throws, but their strengths are opposite. Allen is physical and reliable between the tackles, while JCM is more explosive with a little more boom-bust as a decision maker. There's a new OC in town, so it's a true "let the best man win" competition in Washington.
QB Lamar Jackson: The Ravens snagged stud LG Vega Ioane at 14th overall, then added two nearly identical ball winner WRs in Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt. It's possible Sarratt pivots to big slot, but both are options to throw the ball up to. Has Lamar ever had that at receiver? Not really! It's an interesting pivot for a team who just hired a new OC in Declan Doyle. He comes from the Sean Payton and Ben Johnson tree, and is only 30 years old. If they feel good about both tackle and guard spots, then we should feel okay about their center being Evan Silva.
Panthers Pass Game: I'm looking at the new playcaller and a new type of starters from this offseason, and extrapolating that Carolina is about to be more spread pass than downhill run. This started out by swapping mauling C Cade Mays for 4th-round movement C Sam Hecht. They also allowed bruising RB Rico Dowdle to walk in free agency, so plus-receiver Jonathan Brooks can be the clear-cut RB2 behind Chuba Hubbard. They also added vertical WR3/WR4 Chris Brazzell in Round 3. Doesn't this seem like a team is going to pass a bit more? That's great for Bryce Young, Tetairoa McMillan, and Jalen Coker.
WR Xavier Worthy: The Chiefs didn't add a receiver after losing Hollywood Brown. How is he not going to be a near full-time player here? Would an under center play action offense help him out as the downfield threat of the offense, too? Possibly. He was the WR58 in usage last year, and I don't see that dropping heading into Year 3.
RB Isiah Pacheco: The Lions didn't draft or sign another RB after trading away David Montgomery. It's obviously all Jahmyr Gibbs now, but Pacheco could vulture some TDs while providing a ton of contingent upside. At the same time, Detroit drafted a 1st-round RT and tinkered their interior OL this offseason. They should be in better shape up front.
RBs Chris Brooks and MarShawn Lloyd: The Packers didn't address RB at all after letting backup Emmanuel Wilson go. Josh Jacobs battles injuries every year, and neither backup are being drafted right now on a team dedicated to the run and projected for top-8 points. Brooks is under contract for the next two seasons, so he'd be my lean for now.
Wide receivers: The NFL witnessed Sean McVay's bulldozing and shot-play designs out of 13-personnel last year and are playing a lazy game of copy-cat. Tight ends flew off the board in Rounds 2 and 3 this year, and many can't catch the ball. That means TEs are coming in to block, which means more runs and fewer snaps for WRs. It wouldn't be a surprise to see last year's trends away from WRs happen once again. This means the WR3-WR5 crop in fantasy is hurt the hardest, while some WRs will really separate in WR1 land.
RB Tyler Allgeier: How can you not feel bad for him? He balls out as a rookie, then the Falcons take Bijan Robinson. He continues to be highly effective in his backup role, then signs a low-end starter contract with the Cardinals, just for them to take the next Bijan in Jeremiyah Love. Allgeier won't go entirely to zero because of contingent value and a goal-line role, but he was 88th overall in rankings before the draft. He should be priced as a mid-range handcuff in the 130-150s as usual. James Conner goes to 200+ land as the cheap RB3, and Trey Benson is likely to be released.
TE Harold Fannin and WR Jerry Jeudy: I loved him as a prospect and couldn't believe what he was doing as a rookie. Fannin is a total stud, but the Browns simply aren't better at QB and OC, while much deeper at WR. KC Concepcion is a potential target dominator as the best route runner in the class, and Denzel Boston's towering presence in the red zone could be a problem for touchdowns. The team remains committed to Jerry Jeudy as well, so Fannin needs these in-line Y snaps to keep up. It's questionable if the Browns view him that way, but we'll learn quickly with David Njoku unsigned. Perhaps just as important as anything else mentioned is Todd Monken's deep history of slowing down the pace and running the ball. That wasn't the Browns offense last year.
RBs RJ Harvey and JK Dobbins: The 4th-round selection of reliable Jonah Coleman impacts both profiles. Coleman stylistically is closer to Dobbins, but the fact Denver was flirting with every free agent RB and then the rookie RBs has to mean something for their internal evaluation of Harvey after a far too boom-bust rookie season. Sean Payton's history of a committee approach is too hard to ignore. All will split touches, and the Broncos won't be as healthy as they were last year.
Jaguars WRs: Brian Thomas wasn't traded, but the Jaguars seemed hellbent on changing their style of offense this year by spending their lone 2nd-round pick on an old blocking-only tight end in Nate Boerkircher. With TE Brenton Strange already established, the only way to get their top investment onto the field is by the 2- and 3-TE sets taking the league by storm. That comes at the expense of WR snaps and targets, and it's unclear who even would be playing in 2-WR sets between Thomas, Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, and Travis Hunter. I'd guess it's Thomas and Meyers, but Washington closed the season strongly. This trio was the WR26, WR40, and WR48 on a per-game basis last year. It only became more complicated.
RB Zach Charbonnet: Everyone knows he tore his ACL, but did you know his surgery wasn't until February 20th? If he's nine months out from that date, we're looking at a Week 12 return. That's typically the ramp up period, so this effectively will be a redshirt season for Chabonnet, who likely will hand over the early-down explosive role to 1st-rounder Jadarian Price.
TE Mason Taylor and WR Adonai Mitchell: Obviously Joever with Kenyon Sadiq and Omar Cooper Jr. going 16th overall and 30th overall.