NFL Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings - The Blueprint

Sep 12th 2024Hayden Winks

Expect Week 2 Fantasy Football Rankings updates through Sunday morning when we're live on YouTube. We're posting more videos than ever on our channel, which means less writing for me this year. Instead of writing up every single player, I'll focus on the guys worth writing about. You can watch my takes on all players every week on YouTube. You guys support me 500x more on that platform than as a writer, and I have to skate to where the puck is. I hope you guys understand.

Week 1 Fantasy Football Recap Notes

Week 2 RB Rankings

  1. Breece Hall - 108.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Another tough matchup vs. the Titans (DTs Jeffrey Simmons and T'Vondre Sweat), but he played 30-of-31 snaps through the 3rd quarter in the opener.

  2. Saquon Barkley - 95.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Eagles have the 2nd-highest team total (26.75).

  3. Bijan Robinson - 101.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 89% snaps only led to RB17 usage because the Falcons were awful in Week 1 with Kirk Cousins looking as immobile as you could possibly imagine for an NFL starter.

    • The Eagles defense looked improved in the opener.

  4. Jahmyr Gibbs - 79.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Lions have the highest team total (29.25).

    • He was the RB6 overall in usage in Week 1, seeing two goal-line opportunities on top of his pass-game role. There will be huge games this year.

  5. Derrick Henry - 82.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • There's a big difference between Henry when trailing against the Chiefs and Henry when leading against the Raiders, who had multiple huge run-fit errors in Week 1. It's absolutely go time for the Big Dog, especially after Lamar Jackson ran so much (too much) in the opener.

  6. Jonathan Taylor - 96.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 96% snaps but RB22 usage because a lack of plays and Richardson's goal-line TD.

  7. Kyren Williams - 94.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 91% snaps led to RB9 usage in Week 1's loss.

    • Rams OL woes: LT Alaric Jackson (suspended), backup LT Joe Noteboom (out with an ankle), RG Steve Avila (IR with a knee), RG Kevin Dotson (questionable with an ankle), RT Rob Havenstein (missed Week 1).

    • Cardinals allowed the most fantasy points to RBs last year, including 20-158-1 and 16-143-0 rushing lines to Kyren.

  8. James Conner - 81.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Conner is averaging 16.5 half PPR points with Kyler Murray and OC Drew Petzig across 9 games. Over the last 6 games, he's at 21.4.

    • RB10 usage in a road loss. Now, the Cardinals project for 25.25 points as a 1.5-point home favorite against the Aaron Donald-less Rams, who were gashed by David Montgomery last week. Their new LBs looked pretty rough on tape.

    • Cardinals RT Jonah Williams (knee) was placed on IR.

  9. Jordan Mason - 90.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • RB4 overall usage in Week 1 with Christian McCaffrey (achilles) out.

  10. Joe Mixon - 90.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Finished as the RB1 in fantasy usage last week, and the Texans are 6.5-point home favorites against the Bears' loaded secondary. Great spot to run the ball.

  11. Isiah Pacheco - 86.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Chiefs have the 2nd-highest team total (26.75).

    • 81% snaps.

  12. Rachaad White - 72.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • TB being 7-point underdogs plays into his strengths.

  13. Alvin Kamara - 84.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • RB5 overall usage in Week 1's blowout win.

  14. De'Von Achane (Questionable)

    • DNP (x2) with an ankle sprain. Raheem Mostert (chest/shoulder) has been ruled out, likely putting Jeff Wilson into the early-down role and Jaylen Wright into the backup "speed" role behind Achane.

  15. James Cook - 84.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • RB15 usage in a high-scoring home win last week, but Josh Allen once again finishes with 2 goal-line rushing TDs.

  16. Josh Jacobs - 82.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Packers down to an 18.75-point team total. Sad!

    • The Colts did allow the 4th-most points to fantasy RBs last year and were devasted by Joe Mixon in Week 1 this year, so hopefully a run-first game plan can be effective for Jacobs.

  17. Zach Charbonnet - 80.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Kenneth Walker (abdomen) is doubftul. Charbonnet has a bellcow history and skill set. He'll be complemented by underdized receiving back Kenny McIntosh. This is a great spot for snaps and touches.

  18. Rhamondre Stevenson - 83.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • RB3 overall usage in Week 1's win. Patriots are 3.5-point home dogs to the Seahawks this week, leading to a No. 28 implied team total (17.25). Workload vs. team strength will be the debate all year.

  19. J.K. Dobbins - 70.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Josh made me move him up.

    • 57 yards before contact is unsustainable, but Dobbins did have nice balance and forced 4 missed tackles. He was the RB4 on RB30 usage last week, while Gus Edwards handled the lone inside the 5-yard line opportunity late in the game. We'll see if Dobbins steals a bigger piece of the pie moving forward.

    • Panthers were 6th-worst against fantasy RBs last year and were hammered by the Saints in the opener. After the game, star DT Derrick Brown was placed on season-ending IR. It's so beyond Joever for the Panthers.

  20. David Montgomery - 67.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Lions have the highest team total (29.25).

    • RB19 usage in Week 1, similar to where it was late in 2023 with Jahymr Gibbs healthy.

  21. Aaron Jones - 74.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • He looked great on his 55% snaps and RB26 usage, while splitting time with Ty Chandler.

    • 49ers were 4th-best against fantasy RBs last year and managed to hold down Breece Hall in Week 1.

  22. Najee Harris - 71.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • RB14 usage in Week 1 on an unexpected 77% of the Steelers' RB carries. Jaylen Warren isn't fully healthy yet, or Arthur Smith just loves the big dog.

    • The Steelers are 3-point road favorites vs. Denver, who allowed the 2nd-most fantasy points to RBs last year.

  23. Travis Etienne - 75.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • RB18 usage in Week 1 with Tank Bigsby mixing in very early in the game.

  24. Jerome Ford - 74.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • A PPR scam on the most pass-heavy Week 1 offense. He finished as the RB13 in points and usage.

    • Jaguars defense looked dominant in Week 1.

  25. Devin Singletary - 71.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 71% snaps in a garbage-time filled opener led to RB25 usage.

    • Commanders were 5th-worst against fantasy RBs last year and didn't show up to play against the Bucs last week. A respectable 21.5 projected points for the Giants has me relatively bullish for a bounceback spot.

  26. Zack Moss - 70.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • He was the RB27 in usage in a game where the Bengals didn't look good. If Burrow and the offense can click, then Moss has the role of a low-end RB2. He had a goal-line TD and played in the 2-minute drill.

  27. Ezekiel Elliott - 58.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Cowboys have the 4th-highest team total (26.0).

    • RB29 usage in the debut as the clear 1a and more trusted player.

  28. Brian Robinson - 69.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Giants star DT Dexter Lawrence went absolutely nuts against the Vikings, and the Commanders OL is significantly worse here.

  29. Tony Pollard - 66.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 77% of the Titans carries led to RB24 usage in the opener.

    • Titans have the 5th-lowest team total (18.5).

  30. D'Andre Swift - 62.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 70% snaps is a good sign for his flex value.

  31. Jeff Wilson

    1. This assumes De'Von Achane is active, while Raheem Mostert is inactive. The Dolphins used Wilson as the bruiser type late in Week 1. Jaylen Wright was inactive as Achane's more direct backup.

  32. Javonte Williams - 64.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Broncos have the 3rd-lowest team total (16.75).

    • He's the early-down grinder to start the season, especially after Jaleel McLaughlin and Audric Estime fumbled in Week 1. Now, the Broncos are probably really bad.

  33. Chuba Hubbard - 67.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Panthers have the 2nd-lowest team total (16.5).

  34. Zamir White - 49.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Raiders have the lowest team total (16.0).

  35. Gus Edwards - 51.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  36. Rico Dowdle - 51.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • Cowboys have the 4th-highest team total (26.0).

  37. Jaleel McLaughlin - 48.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  38. Austin Ekeler - 43.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  39. Tyjae Spears - 43.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  40. Tank Bigsby

  41. Ty Chandler - 36.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  42. Jaylen Warren

  43. Jaylen Wright

  44. Alexander Mattison - 39.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  45. Chase Brown - 33.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  46. Emmanuel Wilson

  47. Justice Hill - 32.5 total yards in Pick'em.

  48. Bucky Irving

  49. Samaje Perine

  50. Tyler Allgeier

  51. Trey Benson

Week 2 WR Rankings

  1. Cooper Kupp - 85.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This is an eruption spot based on the efficiency chart.

    • Cardinals allowed the most EPA on dropbacks with a motion attached. 8 of Kupp's receptions last week had them.

  2. CeeDee Lamb - 87.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Cowboys have the 4th-highest team total.

  3. Tyreek Hill - 97.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Dolphins have the 5th-highest team total.

  4. Justin Jefferson - 79.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • No Jordan Addison (ankle) and potential negative game script could really open up the targets here. Sam Darnold looked good enough in KOC's QB-friendly scheme to keep Jefferson's WR1 overall ceiling alive.

  5. Deebo Samuel - 83.5 total yards in Pick'em.

    • 49ers have the 7th-highest team total.

  6. Amon-Ra St. Brown - 83.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Lions have the highest team total (29.25).

    • Bucs FS Antoine Winfield (foot) is out.

  7. Ja'Marr Chase - 70.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Tee Higgins (hamstring) hasn't practiced yet.

  8. Mike Evans - 69.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This is an eruption spot based on the efficiency chart. The Lions allowed the 3rd-most fantasy points to WRs last year and allowed Cooper Kupp to catch a million passes on SNF.

    • Lions CB1 Carlton Davis revenge game.

  9. Rashee Rice - 67.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Chiefs have the 2nd-highest team total.

    • Per NFL Pro, "Bengals defense allowed the 2nd most yards per attempt (9.5) and the 3rd highest completion percentage over expected (5.1%) on plays over the middle with motion or shifts."

  10. Garrett Wilson - 69.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • L'Jarius Sneed shadowed Wilson when he was on the Chiefs fwiw.

  11. DeVonta Smith - 59.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    1. This assumes A.J. Brown is out or severly limited.

    2. Eagles have the 2nd-highest team total.

  12. Jaylen Waddle - 65.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Dolphins have the 5th-highest team total.

    • Bills use a ton of 2-high shells and are missing coverage LB Matt Milano. Expect plenty of underneath, quick throws to Tyreek and Waddle. More receptions than normal would not be a surprise.

  13. Nico Collins - 66.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Texans have the 6th-highest team total.

  14. Malik Nabers - 67.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Commanders are awful. Awful! They allowed the 2nd-most points to fantasy WRs last year and let Baker Mayfield drop 4 TDs on their dome in Week 1. Commanders CB Emmanuel Forbes (thumb) is now out.

    • There's a squeaky wheel narrative building to manufacture more touches to Nabers after Wan'Dale Robinson led the team in targets last week.

  15. Brandon Aiyuk - 59.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • 49ers have the 7th-highest team total.

    • The Vikings allowed the 6th-most fantasy points to WRs while blitzing on 52% of their dropbacks. Aiyuk has the explosiveness to make them pay, especially if they continue to use man coverage with 33yo CB Stephon Gilmore on him.

    • Aiyuk should be a full-time player in Week 2.

  16. Chris Godwin - 57.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This is an eruption spot based on the efficiency chart.

    • Did you see slot WR Cooper Kupp's stat line from last week? Chris Godwin's usage was all underneath in Week 1, similar to Kupp's.

  17. Amari Cooper - 59.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Jaguars CB1 Tyson Campbell (hamstring) might go on IR.

    • Browns were 1st in neutral pass rate despite not having either starting OT.

    • He's a positive regression candidate after barely missing a long TD in last week's garbage time.

  18. Chris Olave - 58.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Cowboys CB Trevon Diggs played well, but they are also starting 5th-round rookie CB Caelen Carson, who was targeted 11 times in the opener per NFL Pro.

    • The Saints will likely have to pass more in this game, and the design of the offense did look better in Week 1 than it did last season. Here are some data points from NFL Pro.

  19. DJ Moore - 60.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Texans CB1 Derek Stingley is pretty sweet.

    • Rome Odunze (knee) and Keenan Allen (heel) are questionable after both not practicing all week.

  20. Tank Dell - 51.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Texans have the 6th-highest team total.

  21. Stefon Diggs - 56.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Texans have the 6th-highest team total.

  22. Xavier Worthy - 43.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Chiefs have the 2nd-highest team total.

    • Bengals CB Cam Taylor-Britt said, "Speed, that's about it. He can run straight -- run jet sweeps and just run straight. He can't do too much else, so that's about it." What can go wrong?

  23. Davante Adams - 58.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Raiders have the lowest team total.

  24. Marvin Harrison Jr. - 57.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  25. Drake London - 58.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Kirk Cousins might be cooked.

    • Eagles allowed the most fantasy points to WRs last year, but they did change their DC and added multiple starters in their secondary this offseason.

  26. Michael Pittman - 58.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  27. George Pickens - 51.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Broncos CB1 Patrick Surtain is a problem.

    • Broncos also blitzed at the highest rate last week, which is new for them. Just something to monitor moving forward.

  28. DK Metcalf - 54.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Patriots CB Christian Gonzalez traveled last week.

  29. A.J. Brown (Questionable)

    1. He was a DNP (hamstring) on Saturday. I lean him towards doubtful rather than probable. If you want to risk it on Monday Night Football, then make sure you have Jahan Dotson, Darnell Mooney, or Ray-Ray McCloud on your bench as a pivot.

    2. Eagles have the 3rd-highest team total.

  30. Brandin Cooks - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This assumes no Jake Ferguson (DNP).

    • Cowboys have the 4th-highest team total.

    • Saints use press coverage at top-5 rates annually. Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) left last week and didn't practice on Wednesday. He'll be replaced by 2nd-round rookie CB Kool-Aid McKinstry.

  31. Jameson Williams - 45.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Lions have the highest team total (29.25).

    • He was limited (ankle) all week and is questionable.

  32. Zay Flowers - 48.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  33. Demarcus Robinson - 42.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This is an eruption spot based on the efficiency chart.

    • The Rams' OL woes are going to force them into a quick-hitting pass offense that will trickle down to D-Rob, who was a full-time player even before Puka Nacua's injury. They were, by far, the most utilized WR room of Week 1.

  34. Terry McLaurin - 51.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Missed a couple times downfield, but the operation of the offense felt really bad, leaving McLaurin on one side of the field for most of the game.

    • The Giants allowed the 4th-most fantasy points to WRs last year. Sam Darnold exposed them in the opener, too. Expect CB1 Deonte Banks, who is an emerging corner, to see McLaurin.

  35. Brian Thomas - 38.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Browns CB1 Denzel Ward only plays on the perimeter.

  36. Christian Kirk - 47.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • The Jaguars made some pivots to their offense, which led to fewer underneath targets than normal. That'd be bad news for Kirk's target volume if it keeps up.

  37. Courtland Sutton - 40.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Broncos have the 3rd-lowest team total.

  38. Ladd McConkey - 45.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  39. Joshua Palmer - 45.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  40. Diontae Johnson - 43.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Panthers have the 2nd-lowest team total. LT Ikem Ekwonu allowed 6 pressures last week. Yikes.

    • The Chargers allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to WRs last year.

  41. Calvin Ridley - 43.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Titans have the 5th-lowest team total.

    • Jets CB1 Sauce Gardner is a problem.

  42. Keenan Allen (Questionable)

    • Didn't practice all week and definitely questionable for Sunday Night Football.

    • ESPN's Adam Schefter calls him a game-time decision and could be limited if he does play.

  43. Jaxon Smith-Njigba - 42.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  44. Tyler Lockett - 44.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  45. Keon Coleman - 44.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Dolphins CB Jalen Ramsey will see him at times.

    • Per NFL Pro: Allen averaged a time to throw of 2.65 seconds in Week 1. He recorded just one game with a quicker time to throw in 2023 (2.27 seconds, Week 8).

  46. Jerry Jeudy - 44.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • No David Njoku opens up some target share.

  47. Andrei Iosivas - 39.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  48. Rome Odunze (Questionable)

    • He was able to get a limited practice in on Friday and is trending towards playing through his mild MCL sprain. Twitter doctors believed he'd be out, which makes me nervous to believe in him here. That said, there's a chance Keenan Allen doesn't play, which would give him the role we've been dreaming of. This is as boom-bust as a decision, given this is on Sunday Night Football. Backup options would be Darnell Mooney, Jahan Dotson, and Ray-Ray McCloud.

  49. Khalil Shakir - 41.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  50. Jayden Reed - 32.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Packers have the 6th-lowest team total.

  51. Greg Dortch - 31.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  52. Rashid Shaheed - 35.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  53. Gabe Davis - 35.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  54. Adonai Mitchell

  55. DeAndre Hopkins - 32.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  56. Wan'Dale Robinson - 34.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  57. Tyler Johnson - 35.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This is an eruption spot based on the efficiency chart.

  58. Jalen McMillan - 30.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This is an eruption spot based on the efficiency chart.

  59. Darnell Mooney - 36.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  60. Michael Wilson - 29.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  61. Jakobi Meyers - 36.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  62. Romeo Doubs

  63. Adam Thielen - 39.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  64. Allen Lazard

  65. Jalen Tolbert - 22.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  66. Christian Watson - 25.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Packers have the 6th-lowest team total.

  67. Curtis Samuel - 18.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  68. Alec Pierce

  69. Rashod Bateman - 26.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  70. DeMario Douglas - 32.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  71. Quentin Johnston - 34.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  72. Luke McCaffrey

  73. Xavier Legette

  74. Mike Williams

  75. Josh Reynolds

  76. Tyler Boyd

Week 2 QB Rankings

  1. Patrick Mahomes - Chiefs (27.0) vs. CIN

    • Bengals were 10th worst against fantasy QBs last year.

    • Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy in bunched sets together is really difficult to defend, too.

  2. Lamar Jackson - Ravens (25.0) vs. LV

    • The scramble rate will heavily decrease, but getting back home against a vulnerable back seven is a win for Jackson's outlook.

  3. Jalen Hurts - Eagles (27.0) vs. ATL

    • Eagles have 2nd-highest team total.

    • We had Tush Pushes in the opener, and they'll get better with experience and without that terrible Brazilian grass.

    • Hurts was blitzed 10 times in Week 1. He got the ball out in 2.28 seconds on average. Last year when they were awful against the blitz, he was at 2.77 seconds. That's a promising debut from OC Kellen Moore.

  4. Josh Allen - Bills (23.0) at MIA

  5. Kyler Murray - Cardinals (24.75) vs. LAR

    • Cardinals RT Jonah Williams was placed on IR.

  6. Jayden Daniels - Commanders (22.25) vs. NYG

    • Giants DT Dexter Lawrence is going to be impossible to deal with, as are EDGEs Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux. The plan easily could be to pepper screens and RPOs to keep him away from normal dropbacks.

  7. Anthony Richardson - Colts (21.75) at GB

  8. Dak Prescott - Cowboys (26.25) vs. NO

    • No CB1 Marshon Lattimore would be helpful.

  9. C.J. Stroud - Texans (26.0) vs. CHI

    • This is basically the best 3-WR set vs. the deepest seconday in the NFL. This will be a treat to watch.

  10. Jared Goff - Lions (29.5) vs. TB

    • Bucs star FS Antoine Winfield (foot) is out and DT Calijah Kancey (calf) will likely join him on the bench.

  11. Tua Tagovailoa - Dolphins (25.5) vs. BUF

  12. Matthew Stafford - Rams (23.25) at ARI

    • The Cardinals were my 32nd defense heading into the year and allowed the highest success rate of any team in Week 1. Slot CB Max Melton (concussion) is questionable.

    • Rams OL woes: LT Alaric Jackson (suspended), backup LT Joe Noteboom (IR with an ankle), RG Steve Avila (IR with a knee), RG Kevin Dotson (DNPs with a foot), RT Rob Havenstein (missed Week 1). Luckily the Cardinals had a league-low 12% pass rush win rate last week.

  13. Brock Purdy - 49ers (26.0) at MIN

  14. Joe Burrow - Bengals (21.0) at KC

    • This is the report you get when your wrist is definitely fine. Nothing to worry about.

  15. Baker Mayfield - Bucs (22.0) at DET

    • Lions were 3rd-worst against fantasy QBs last year because they get into shootouts with their studly offense. The Bucs are 7.5-point dogs here. Great game script.

    • Lions EDGE2 Marcus Davenport (DNPx3) is likely out.

  16. Daniel Jones - Giants (20.75) at WAS

    • Commanders allowed the most fantasy points to QBs last year and just placed a starting CB on IR after getting demolished by Baker Mayfield in Week 1.

  17. Caleb Williams - Bears (19.5) at HOU

  18. Justin Fields - Steelers (19.5) at DEN

    • 29% bootleg is a great number for Fields, who still missed throws and turned down open looks inside the pocket. He made up for it with some great sideline throws and scrambles.

  19. Sam Darnold - Vikings (20.5) vs. SF

  20. Trevor Lawrence - Jaguars (22.25) vs. CLE

  21. Justin Herbert - Chargers (22.25) at CAR

  22. Aaron Rodgers - Jets (22.5) at TEN

    • Mike Williams was on a 15-snap limitation in Week 1 that will steadily increase.

  23. Geno Smith - Seahawks (21.0) at NE

    • Kenneth Walker (DNPx2) being out would help Geno's pass attempts.

  24. Deshaun Watson - Browns (19.25) at JAX

    • They desperately need OTs Jack Conklin (probable to me) and Jedrick Willis (questionable) back before lining up against Josh Hines-Allen and Travon Walker this week. The Jaguars notably played a ton of man coverage last week under impressive new DC Ryan Nielsen, but no CB1 Tyson Campbell and no SS Darnell Savage in Week 2.

    • Watson also has lost his accuracy whenever he has to put mustard on his throws. That's shoulder surgery for ya.

  25. Derek Carr - Saints (20.25) at DAL

    • 1st-round rookie LT Taliese Fuaga (back) not practicing before a matchup with Micah Parsons is not fun.

  26. Kirk Cousins - Falcons (20.5) at PHI

    • No under center. No play action. No bootleg. No bueno para senor Kirk. I don't trust him to look better in Week 2 either, especially with the Eagles defensive line.

    • Last note is the OL was built for an outside zone play action offense, and now they aren't built that way. Here's AQ Shipley on that topic:

  27. Bo Nix - Broncos (17.0) vs. PIT

  28. Malik Willis - Packers (18.75) vs. IND

    • Colts CB1 JuJu Brents (IR), DT1 DeForest Buckner (DNPx3), and FS1 Julian Blackmon (DNPx3) are likely out. This is a decimated defense right now.

  29. Will Levis - Titans (19.0) vs. NYJ

    • The Titans had the worst pass block win rate (29%) of Week 1 per ESPN.

  30. Jacoby Brissett - Patriots (17.5) vs. SEA

  31. Bryce Young - Panthers (17.25) vs. LAC

    • I've never seen a QB play on their tippy toes more than Young, who also misses 2-3 throws per game because he can't make a play around his taller offensive linemen. I wish this wasn't a "short QB" meme, but this is the reality of the situation.

    • Panthers LT Ikem Ekwonu also looked brutal (7 pressures) in Week 1.

  32. Gardner Minshew - Raiders (16.5) at BAL

    • Aidan O'Connell watch starts soon.

Week 2 TE Rankings

  1. Travis Kelce - 54.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Bengals were 3rd-worst against fantasy TEs last year.

  2. Trey McBride - 50.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • TE2 usage on 29% targets in Week 1. I don't trust Rams defense.

    • Rams were 4th-worst against fantasy TEs last year.

  3. Sam LaPorta - 52.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • TE4 usage in Week 1, but the Lions were more run-heavy than normal. It also hurts if Jamo is going to catch passes on drag routes.

    • Bucs were 2nd-worst against fantasy TEs last year. S Antoine Winfield is out and LB Lavonte David is trending towards cooked. This is a good matchup.

  4. George Kittle - 50.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • TE12 usage in Week 1 on 17% targets. That's slightly better than his numbers with Deebo and Aiyuk healthy, likely because Deebo was playing some RB.

  5. Dalton Kincaid - 44.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  6. Dallas Goedert - 33.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • This assumes A.J. Brown (hamstring) is out.

    • Falcons were 5th-worst against fantasy TEs last year.

  7. Mark Andrews - 39.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  8. Kyle Pitts - 38.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • 100% routes is a big win for Pitts, but he still was TE18 in usage because Kirk played so badly. The Eagles' weakness historically has been over the middle, where Pitts hopefully will get more usage this year.

  9. Brock Bowers - 34.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • TE3 overall in fantasy usage in his rookie debut. Bullish.

  10. Evan Engram - 41.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Browns were 2nd-best against fantasy TEs last year. That's JOK for you.

    • More under center play action hurts Engram because Lawrence isn't utilizing the quick game. He also played 68% snaps and TE22 usage in the opener.

    • Engram had 9.9 targets per game with Kirk last year and 7.5 with him. I'll take the lower on both moving forward. The Jaguars had a shocking 25% neutral pass rate.

  11. Isaiah Likely - 35.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  12. Colby Parkinson - 28.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

    • Parkinson played 88% of the snaps in Week 1.

    • Rams TE2 Davis Allen (back) hasn't practiced. Puka (IR) is month-to-month.

  13. Taysom Hill - 15.5 rushing yards in Pick'em.

  14. Pat Freiermuth

    • Broncos allowed the most fantasy points to TEs last year.

    • Patrick Surtain is likely shadowing George Pickens. Freiermuth had 77% routes in the opener. I'd like to see that go up.

  15. Dalton Schultz

    • DNP-DNP (ankle) to start the week, but practiced Friday.

    • Bears LBs and Ss are really good in coverage.

  16. Hunter Henry - 27.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  17. Tyler Conklin - 27.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  18. Noah Fant - 24.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  19. Zach Ertz

  20. Jordan Akins

    • Filled in for David Njoku and immediately saw targets in the most pass-heavy offense in neutral situations.

  21. Juwan Johnson - 27.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  22. Luke Schoonmaker

  23. Cade Otton - 22.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  24. Greg Dulcich - 21.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  25. Tucker Kraft

  26. Mike Gesicki

  27. Chig Okonkwo

  28. Cole Kmet

  29. Jonnu Smith - 15.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

  30. Hayden Hurst - 19.5 receiving yards in Pick'em.

Week 2 Defenses For Sickos

My analysis on this is here. Peep the timestamps: