The NFL trade deadline is on October 31st, so let's speculate on a few potential moves that'd make a difference in fantasy football land. Because the NFL is reluctant to trade players in-season, I'm keeping things tight here. I'm looking for teams that are long shots to make the playoffs already...
And as always, shout out to OverTheCap.com.
Titans (+360 to make playoffs)
RB Derrick Henry is my favorite realistic fantasy trade target. The Titans just traded stud S Kevin Byard, signaling they are ready to tear down with a new GM. Henry isn't under contract beyond this season, so an acquiring team is on the hook for less than $1M per game without a long-term commitment. The 29-year-old is notoriously lethal late in the season. It'd be hilarious if the Cowboys, Ravens, Bills, Bengals, or Chargers added him to the rotation. That'd allow Tennessee to see if flashy rookie Tyjae Spears can handle No. 1 duties before the offseason comes.
Raiders (+390 to make playoffs)
WR Davante Adams has been straight up with his frustrations, but the Raiders haven't budged with their commitment to him. If there is an aggressive trade offer at the deadline, Vegas would only be playing themselves by nah waving it. I'm sure they don't want to trade him in Year 1.5 out of a 5-year deal, but the 32-year-old could be the missing piece for a Lions team for example. Adams has $17M guaranteed in 2024 and the Raiders remain on the hook for $7.8M in annual prorated bonuses until 2026. Those guaranteed bonuses are the Raiders problem, not an acquiring team.
WR Hunter Renfrow is far easier to trade, as he doesn't have guaranteed money in 2024 aside from the Raiders' $1.8M annual prorated bonuses that extend through 2026. Renfrow is a starting-level slot in an offense that isn't using him. The Bills would be an ideal fit now that they're heading back towards more 11-personnel without Dawson Knox (wrist surgery), but the Chiefs, Steelers, and Jets are other potential destinations.
RB Josh Jacobs is only playing on a 1-year franchise tag, meaning an acquiring team is only liable for weekly checks of just north of a half million dollars. Jacobs is really struggling this year, but it's easier to trade for a RB mid-season than most positions. Would a fringe team like the Browns, Bucs, Rams, or Texans make a move? It's at least possible.
Commanders (+610 to make playoffs)
This isn't fantasy related, but EDGE Chase Young doesn't have a long-term deal in the last year of his rookie contract. Young is flashing signs of elite ball after a lengthy battle with knee surgery. He's still just 24 years young.
QB Jacoby Brissett is a capable fill-in starter if the Browns are spooked by Deshaun Watson's shoulder injury or if the Jets want a capable option to Zach Wilson. Brissett is nearly free for an acquiring team, and Washington is likely waste deep in their Sam Howell evaluation at this point.
Giants (+980 to make playoffs)
RB Saquon Barkley doesn't want to be traded, and the Giants have said they won't trade him. Why? I'm sure it's face-of-franchise related. It's a weird case given New York opted to not sign a long-term deal with him last offseason. They'll go back into contract negotiations this offseason, this time without the realistic threat of a franchise tag. I'd be more fun if a team made a bold move at the deadline. It sadly seems unlikely.
WR Parris Campbell is on a $5M single season contract, and he's been a backup in New York. The 26-year-old is a fringe starting slot option with a lengthy injury history. Perhaps a team like the Bills could use a slot upgrade. That'd be bailing the Giants out.
Patriots (+1120 to make playoffs)
WR Kendrick Bourne is in the final year of his contract, and it's been an up-and-down stint in New England. Bourne is a fringe flanker starter in his age-28 season, one where he's averaging a career-best 53 yards per game. The Patriots could want to see more Pop Douglas and Tyquan Thornton down the stretch. Remember, DeVante Parker signed a long-term deal this offseason here.
Bears (+1200 to make playoffs)
WR Darnell Mooney is in the final year of his rookie contract and is averaging the fewest yards per game (26) of his career with D.J. Moore operating as a clear-cut No. 1. The Bears could see what they have in 4th-round rookie Tyler Scott, who has almost identical size and speed as Mooney. Mooney would be an interesting fit for the Chiefs, Bills, or Lions as a vertical slot or flanker option.
RB D'Onta Foreman is coming off his best game yet, but he's without a contract after this season. 3rd-round rookie Roschon Johnson is back from concussion protocol and Khalil Herbert should be returning in November. Foreman only signed for $2M this offseason, so league-wide interest is likely limited. He just has early-down rushing ability. The Cowboys, Bengals, or Chargers could use another body.
Broncos (+1500 to make playoffs)
WR Jerry Jeudy and WR Courtland Sutton have been floated for months. Jeudy has been less productive (48 yards per game) than Sutton (50), but he's also younger and was a former 1st-rounder. Jeudy has the 5th-year option in 2024, while Sutton doesn't have guarantees after this season. Sutton can play X receiver (see: Lions). Jeudy is a slot or flanker only (see: Bills).
Panthers (+1800 to make playoffs)
This isn't fantasy related, but EDGE Brian Burns has been in trade discussions for months, while playing on the 5th-year option. He'd fit everywhere basically. It was a mistake that Carolina didn't accept the Rams' offer earlier on.
The Panthers want to trade backup WR Terrace Marshall, but he's done nothing in the NFL so far.
Cardinals (+2200 to make playoffs)
WR Marquise Brown is an expiring contract in his age-26 season. The former 1st-rounder is averaging 55 yards per game in an inconsistent offense and is a WR2 on a Super Bowl level team. He'd be a great fit with the Chiefs, Lions, and ... Ravens. An acquiring team would be on the hook for $780k per game this year without any future obligations.
WR Rondale Moore is under rookie contract through 2024.
TE Zach Ertz is on injured reserve now, and it's fair to wonder why he wasn't traded earlier in the season with former 2nd-rounder TE Trey McBride in waiting.