2024 NFL Mock Draft With Team Needs

Feb 19th 2024

Hayden Winks

List ordered by 2024 NFL Draft picks. Here's a mock draft to accompany the team needs.

1. Chicago Bears

  1. QB: Justin Fields didn't develop enough as a rhythm thrower to not take the rookie contract reset with Caleb Williams, who I believe has rare upside traits in terms of arm talent, scramble ability, and core strength. Over the next three (3) seasons, Fields would cost $64M against the cap if they exercised the 5th-year option and then the franchise tag. The first overall pick in this draft will make $40M over the next four (4) seasons.

  2. WR: Getting D.J. Moore in the Bryce Young trade was stealing, but it's also not enough. Targets to Moore or TE Cole Kmet had a 61% success rate last year, while all other targets sat at 39%. Yikes. Second-year speedster Tyler Scott could replace free agent Darnell Mooney as the third receiver, but there's a size void at the second outside receiver spot. The dream would be Malik Nabers or Rome Odunze if either slip to 9th overall.

  3. DT: The leader in run defense snaps, Justin Jones is a free agent. It's crazy how well the Bears were stuffing the run (5th in stuff rate and 7th in rushing EPA) with their DT depth.

  4. C: 30-year-old Lucas Patrick was a free agent and a low-end starter.

  5. EDGE: Montez Sweat was a big addition at last year's deadline, but rotational edge Yannick Ngakoue is a free agent and there is room for upgrade over 30-year-old DeMarcus Walker.

2. Washington Commanders

  1. QB: Sam Howell was benched after a league-high sack and turnover rate. With Caleb Williams heavily favored at 1st overall, the decision quickly becomes Drake Maye vs. Jayden Daniels vs. J.J. McCarthy. I personally have Maye ranked highest.

  2. EDGE: This is a complete overhaul after trading Montez Sweat and Chase Young.

  3. Outside CB: Kendall Fuller is a free agent, but they at least have slot Benjamin St. Juste and Emmanuel Forbes on rookie deals. Those two were exposed at times in 2023, leading to the league's worst passing EPA allowed.

  4. WR: Curtis Samuel is a free agent, but the Commanders don't technically have to find a slot receiver given Jahan Dotson's potential fit inside.

  5. Speed RB: Brian Robinson Jr. is a fine short-yardage option, but Antonio Gibson underperformed and hits free agency. We'll see if the new regime has any interest in Chris Rodriguez.

  6. SS: Kamren Curl is a free agent, but 2023 2nd-rounder Jatavius Martin and 2022 4th-rounder Percy Butler are potential fill-ins.

  7. LG: Saadiq Charles is a free agent. The rest of the starting OL returns, but it's a mediocre unit in general. It's unclear if 2023 3rd-rounder Ricky Stromberg (26 snaps) is ready to plug in.

3. New England Patriots

  1. QB: The Mac Jones relationship (on both ends) seems beyond repair, so a trade is in order. Bailey Zappe isn't built for starter reps either, of course, so a power move is a must. Veteran Jacoby Brissett played decently with new OC Alex Van Pelt in Cleveland as a potential first addition, before considering the leftovers of Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, and J.J. McCarthy in the 2024 NFL Draft.

  2. LT: Trent Brown is a free agent, and the Patriots were 32nd in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate.

  3. RT: Michael Onwenu (potentially a guard if re-signed) and Riley Reiff are also free agents.

  4. TE: Hunter Henry and Mike Gesicki are free agents.

  5. Outside WR: It was an embarrassing year, especially when Kendrick Bourne (ACL) went down. The Patriots will have the option to completely change the room with Marvin Harrison Jr. if they aren't enticed by the QB prospects at 3rd overall, though the early Round 2 options like Troy Franklin or Ladd McConkey look enticing, too. JuJu Smith-Schuster, DeVante Parker, Demario Douglas, and Tyquan Thornton are depth options only.

  6. SS: Kyle Dugger is a free agent, though likely a priority re-signee. Veteran chess piece Jalen Mills is a free agent, too.

  7. EDGE: Matt Judon returns from injury and will be a huge addition, but the Patriots have rotational speedsters Josh Uche and Anfernee Jennings as free agents.

4. Arizona Cardinals

  1. EDGE: Ranking 28th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate isn't going to cut it, especially for a staff rooted in Eagles history. 2023 2nd-rounder BJ Ojulari is a speed rusher, so size may be more important this time around.

  2. DT: See Need #1 and note there is less talent here.

  3. Outside CB(s): There isn't a starter on the roster, evidenced by last year's 31st overall ranking in passing EPA allowed.

  4. Outside WR: Marvin Harrison Jr. couldn't fit better, especially if free agent Marquise Brown can't be re-signed. In an ideal world, Kyler Murray has Harrison-Brown-McBride under contract for the foreseeable future. That's a trio!

  5. LB: Josh Woods and Krys Barnes are free agents and low-end starters.

  6. LG: Elijah Wilkinson is a free agent.

5. Los Angeles Chargers

  1. DT: Austin Johnson and Nick Williams are a free agents (and were part of the reason why L.A. was 29th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate.

  2. CB: Michael Davis is a free agent and was inconsistent as a starter. Asante Samuel Jr. is a fine CB2 but lacks the size to matchup with the league's best in isolation. The Chargers were 26th in passing EPA allowed.

  3. C: Veteran Corey Linsley is retiring and his emergency fill-in Will Clapp is a free agent. PFF graded the Chargers run blocking as the worst in the NFL last year.

  4. FS: Alohi Gilman and Jaylinn Hawkins are a free agents.

  5. TE: Gerald Everett leaves for free agency, and the Harbaugh/Roman offense has heavily utilized TEs for the past decade from Vernon Davis to Mark Andrews. Brock Bowers will be commonly mocked.

  6. RT: Originally a developmental project, Trey Pipkins out of Souix Falls has stagnated as a low-end starter. This is the final year with guaranteed money in his contract.

  7. LB: Kenneth Murray is a free agent and veteran Eric Kendricks' $6.5M in potential cap savings makes him a cut candidate.

  8. EDGE: Joey Bosa is likely a cut candidate after another injured-filled season, leaving expensive 33-year-old Khalil Mack as the top pass rusher and he's in a contract year. Tuli Tuipulotu is underrated as a potential EDGE2 if the Chargers can't find a Bosa replacement during their cap re-set.

  9. RG: 2022 6th-rounder Jamaree Salyer filled in at LT in 2022 for the injured Rashawn Slater before starting at RG last year. He had his struggles there, but Salyer's versatility is a plus.

  10. RB: Austin Ekeler is a free agent.

6. New York Giants

  1. X WR: This has been a need since Underdog Fantasy was founded in 2021, though at least the Giants have chipped away at the depth across the room in vertical Z Jalin Hyatt and underneath slot Wan'Dale Robinson. Darius Slayton is paid like a rotational option in the last year of his deal. Rome Odunze and Malik Nabers would fit.

  2. LG: Justin Pugh is a free agent.

  3. RG: Ben Bredeson is a free agent, and veteran backup Mark Glowinski is a potential cut candidate. Keep in mind the Giants were 30th in short-yardage run rate and 24th in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate.

  4. DT: Dexter Lawrence is a menace inside, but with Leonard Williams traded, the Giants need a 3-tech again. A'Shawn Robinson is a free agent, too.

  5. Outside CB: Adoree' Jackson is a free agent and it's unclear if 2023 6th-rounder Tre Hawkins is ready for a starting role with new DC Shane Bowen now in charge. 2023 1st rounder Deonte Banks will headline the group on the perimeter.

  6. RB: Saquon Barkley is a free agent, assuming they don't slap the $12M franchise tag on him.

  7. Slot CB: 2022 3rd-rounder Cor'Dale Flott is a fringe starter.

  8. RT: It's too early to fully give up on 2022 7th overall pick Evan Neal, but it's also not far fetched to look for competition just in case he has to kick into guard.

  9. QB: Daniel Jones' $47M cap charge this year and $22M guaranteed in bonuses the following year aren't going anywhere, so it's probably a year too early to begin searching elsewhere. That said, Tyrod Taylor is a free agent.

7. Tennessee Titans

  1. Outside CB: Sean Murphy-Bunting and Kristian Fulton are free agents, and the Titans were 30th in passing EPA allowed last year.

  2. C: Aaron Brewer is a free agent.

  3. NT: Kyle Peko is a free agent and Teair Tart was released late last year.

  4. EDGE: Denico Autry is a free agent, so a powerful replacement is on the wish list.

  5. LT: Andre Dillard failed last year, but there's a chance new (legendary) OL coach Bill Callahan wants to work with him given he's under contract with guarantees this year. In fact, Dillard is the 4th-highest paid player on the roster heading into free agency. It'll be tempting to go with one of the stud LTs early in this draft, however.

  6. Power RB: Derrick Henry is a free agent and it's unclear if Tyjae Spears is ready for more than 200 touches.

  7. WR: It's now or never for Treylon Burks.

8. Atlanta Falcons

  1. QB: 22nd in passing EPA with their weapons is a disaster. The question is if they want a veteran (Justin Fields, Baker Mayfield, Russell Wilson, Ryan Tannehill, etc.) or rookie (Jayden Daniels, J.J. McCarthy, or Bo Nix). New OC Zac Robinson has worked with pure pocket passers only with his time in Los Angeles for what it's worth.

  2. EDGE: As usual, the Falcons were 32nd in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate. Bud Dupree is a free agent.

  3. CB: Jeff Okudah was fine next to A.J. Terrell when healthy, but he's a free agent.

  4. DT: Calais Campbell is a free agent, and stud Grady Jarrett is coming off a torn ACL.

  5. WR: Free agent Mack Hollins was their second-highest yardage receiver last year.

9. Chicago Bears

10. New York Jets

  1. LT: Mehki Becton is a free agent, and the Jets were 30th in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate and 30th in rushing EPA.

  2. RT: The Jets rotated five (5!!!) players here. Alijah Vera-Tucker has played both guard and tackle spots throughout his career. It's unclear where he'll play coming off his torn achilles this year, but he's really good when healthy. I'd project him at RG next year, making RT an open spot.

  3. WR: Garrett Wilson is accompanied by nobody, even if Aaron Rodgers loves Allen Lazard.

  4. SS: Jordan Whitehead is a free agent.

  5. EDGE: First-step legend Bryce Huff is a free agent.

11. Minnesota Vikings

  1. QB: Kirk Cousins is an unrestricted free agent. It wouldn't be shocking to see him return, but Cousins will be wined-and-dined by the dozen teams without a franchise QB, even coming off a torn achilles, and it's possible 3rd-year-GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah and 3rd-year-coach Kevin O'Connel are ready to go younger. I think J.J. McCarthy (Round 1), Bo Nix (Round 2), and Michael Penix (Round 3) would fit the offense. I really think McCarthy would, specifically.

  2. EDGE: Danielle Hunter and D.J. Wonnum are free agents. The Vikings were 18th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate with them last year.

  3. CB: DC Brian Flores hid relatively poor cornerback play with his outlier scheme.

  4. LG: Dalton Risner is a free agent.

  5. LB: Jordan Hicks is a free agent.

  6. Slot WR: K.J. Osborn is a free agent.

  7. RB: Ty Chandler will challenge Alexander Mattison for the top spot, but neither move the needle for me.

  8. FS: Harrison Smith is a cut candidate, but they have Camryn Bynum and Josh Metellus stepped up last year.

12. Denver Broncos

  1. QB: The inevitable post-June 1st release of Russell Wilson will tie up $34M in 2024 dead money and another $50M in 2025, so things will be tight. Veteran options like Mac Jones, Sam Darnold, and the suspended Jimmy G could compete with Jarrett Stidham, or the Broncos have the J.J. McCarthy (Round 1), Bo Nix (Round 2), Michael Penix (Round 3), and Spencer Rattler (Round 4) tier to choose from in the draft. I'll continue to point out coach Sean Payton was a fan of Mac in the draft process. He'll be free in a trade.

  2. EDGE: They were 30th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate.

  3. C: Lloyd Cushenbury is a free agent.

  4. DT: Nose tackle Mike Purcell is a free agent.

  5. FS: P.J. Locke is a free agent.

  6. Outside CB: Fabian Moreau is a free agent, and 2022 4th-rounder Damarri Mathis didn't play well in his limited reps per PFF.

13. Las Vegas Raiders

  1. QB: Potentially gifted $11M in additional cap savings thanks to Jimmy G's PED suspension, the Raiders have some wiggle room in free agency to find an Aidan O'Connell upgrade. New OC Luke Getsy worked with trade candidate Justin Fields and other dual-threat QBs in his history, while coach Antonio Pierce continues to think balance on offense. Russell Wilson was reported to have Las Vegas on his short list during his trade tour back in Seattle, too. If those options don't work out, the NFL Draft has 4ish potential starters within reach.

  2. DT: Bilal Nichols, John Jenkins, and Adam Butler are free agents.

  3. RT: Jermaine Eluemunor is a free agent.

  4. C: Andre James is a free agent.

  5. RG: Greg Van Roten is a free agent.

  6. RB: Josh Jacobs is a free agent.

14. New Orleans Saints

  1. EDGE: They were 31st in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate.

  2. DT: See need #1. They need ex-second-rounder Bryan Breese to step up.

  3. LG: 33-year-old James Hurst is a fringe starter and in the final year of his deal.

  4. WR: Chris Olave is very good and deep threat Rashid Shaheed is a great value as a restricted free agent, but 31-year-old Michael Thomas is a cut candidate before the 3rd day of the 2024 league year. There's room for an upgrade on A.T. Perry, even if the Saints don't sit in 3-WR sets.

  5. RT: The offense was 28th in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate, and star RT Ryan Ramcszyk's knee sounds bad despite having $32M in guaranteed bonuses still due.

  6. CB: Because they've kicked the can down the road for years, it's possible one move to free up necessary cap space this offseason is by trading Marshon Lattimore. They'd save $11M per Nick Underhill and they hinted at this move by restructuring his current deal into a flexible option bonus instead of a concrete signing bonus. Paulson Adebo stepped up last season, while Alontae Taylor was routinely picked on after moving into the slot. Isaac Yiadom is also a free agent.

15. Indianapolis Colts

  1. DT: DeForest Buckner is a total stud in the final year of his deal, but Grover Stewart and Taven Bryan are free agents. Indy was better rushing the passer than defending the run up front.

  2. Slot CB: Kenny Moore is a free agent. The 30-year-old has been there for his entire 7-year career so far.

  3. CB: The top-4 outside CBs in terms of snaps were either first or second year players last season. They struggled in general but should improve in 2024. A veteran addition would be nice here.

  4. EDGE: The Colts quietly were 5th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate because Kwity Paye and Samson Ebukam, but Tyquan Lewis is a free agent and there's a lack of depth. Size could be important here.

  5. SS: Julian Blackmon is a free agent. 2023 3rd-rounder Nick Cross saw playing time last year as a potential fill in next to inconsistent deep-safety starter Rodney Thomas.

  6. RG: 2021 7th-rounder Will Fries is returning as a starter, but there is room for an upgrade.

  7. Outside WR: Michael Pittman will at least get the franchise tag this offseason and possibly a long-term extension, but 2022 2nd-rounder Alec Pierce has underwhelmed as a deep threat without much bend on in-breaking routes. Pivoting him to rotational duties would be ideal.

16. Seattle Seahawks

  1. DT: Star Leonard Williams is a free agent months after the Seahawks traded for him. It'd be a tough pill to swallow to let him immediately walk, so odds are he stays.

  2. LB: Both starting backers are free agents: Jordyn Brooks and Bobby Wagner.

  3. C: Evan Brown is a free agent, and the Seahawks were 25th in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate.

  4. LG: Damien Lewis is a free agent and never developed like they hoped.

  5. TE: Noah Fant and Colby Parkinson are free agents, and Will Dissly is a cut candidate.

  6. EDGE: They've made some meaningful investments into the position but haven't hit a home run yet. They were 16th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate. Uchenna Nwosu and Boye Mafe are a respectable duo when healthy. Darrell Taylor is a restricted free agent.

  7. RT: 2022 3rd-rounder Abe Lucas was solid as a rookie but struggled coming off injury last season.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars

  1. DT: They were 23rd in rushing EPA allowed, despite investing some capital into this position. They need some fresh upside.

  2. WR: Calvin Ridley is a free agent. If he signs a long-term deal with the Jaguars, the current 3rd round draft pick being sent to the Falcons turns into a 2nd. The $21M franchise tag is also an option, as is letting him walk. We had this debate here.

  3. Slot CB: Tre Herndon is a free agent.

  4. LG: There are fringe starters across the entire interior, which led to a disasterous 29th ranking in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate. Tyler Shatley and Ezra Cleveland are both free agents and both underwhelmed in their rotation, though it's possible Walker Little settles in here if Cam Robinson isn't a cap casualty (only $4M of his $21M guaranteed).

  5. C: 2022 3rd-rounder Luke Fortner has been bad in both seasons as a starter.

  6. CB: 31-year-old Darious Williams is in the final year of his deal and they struggled with their depth when Tyson Campbell missed time with injury last year.

  7. Power RB: Being 29th in rushing EPA and 24th in short-yardage success rate can mostly be blamed on the OL, but Travis Etienne isn't the well rounded RB some think he is. They attempted finding him a power-based complement in Tank Bigsby last year. Consider that a whiff.

18. Cincinnati Bengals

  1. RT: Jonah Williams pivoted to right tackle in 2023 because of LT Orlando Brown, and it sounds like Williams wants to test free agency and move back to his old spot.

  2. DT: 30-year-old DJ Reader tore his quad this past December for the second time in his career. The lack of depth behind him was partly to blame for Cincy's 23rd ranking in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate.

  3. TE: Drew Sample and Irv Smith Jr. are both free agents.

  4. Slot WR: Tee Higgins is reportedly likely to be franchise tagged, which mirrors Joe Burrow's contractual window to keep both of his receivers before his cap number significantly jumps and the Ja'Marr Chase extension kicks in. Meanwhile, 30-year-old slot Tyler Boyd is a free agent and less of a re-sign priority.

  5. Outside CB: Chidobe Awuzie is a free agent. They have 2022 and 2023 2nd rounders projected as starters currently: Cam Taylor-Britt and DJ Turner. The Bengals were 23rd in passing EPA allowed last year.

  6. LG: 2022 4th-rounder Cordell Volson is a fringe starter.

  7. RB: The potential release of Joe Mixon frees $6M. Is 5th-round sophomore Chase Brown ready for an expanded role?

19. Los Angeles Rams

  1. CB: Ahkello Witherspoon is a free agent with 2022 4th-rounder Cobie Durant is a fill-in option. 2022 6th-rounder Derion Kendrick was the second outside corner.

  2. FS: Jordan Fuller and John Johnson are free agents. 2022 7th-rounder Russ Yeast started alongside them last year.

  3. RG: Kevin Dotson broke out in 2023 during his contract year and first season with the Rams. It's unlikely GM Les Snead let's him test the open waters.

  4. EDGE: Restricted free agent Michael Hoecht and rookie breakout Bryon Young are a nice duo, but there is no depth and there's room to dream bigger. With Aaron Donald wrecking havoc, the Rams were just 14th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate.

  5. LB: Restricted free agent and former UDFA Christian Rozeboom struggled as a starter.

20. Pittsburgh Steelers

  1. CB: Levi Wallace is a free agent after starting next to emerging star Joey Porter Jr. Patrick Peterson moved into the slot late in the year but is a cut candidate. Finally, depth slot CB Chandon Sullivan is also a free agent.

  2. OT: Broderick Jones was a LT in college but played more RT as a rookie because replacable starter Dan Moore has played LT his entire career in the pros. Moore is best suited as an OT3, so the Steelers can find go either direction given Jones' flexibility.

  3. QB: It's hard to take Kenny Pickett serious as a Week 1 starter after being benched during last year's playoff push. It's harder to believe free agent Mason Rudolph is the answer, but reports suggest the front office is leaning towards keeping these two rather than explore outside. There are connections to Justin Fields, Russell Wilson, and Ryan Tannehill. We'll learn their fate early in the offseason. I don't see the 2024 NFL Draft as an option this late in the order.

  4. C: Mason Cole is a fringe starter in the final year of his contract. The Steelers were just 18th in short-yardage success rate despite having two capable RBs.

  5. RG: James Daniels is a fringe starter in the final year of his contract.

  6. Slot WR: 31-year-old Allen Robinson is a cut candidate, and Diontae Johnson is in a contract year.

  7. FS: 31-year-old Damontae Kazee is a fringe starter in the final year of his contract.

  8. LB: Depth options Kwon Alexander and Mykal Walker are free agents.

21. Miami Dolphins

  1. C: Connor Williams is a free agent. His backup Liam Eichenberg has been a fringe starter at all five spots across the line. Keep in mind, the Dolphins were 31st in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate and 28th in short-yardage rushing success. The OL had issues.

  2. OG: Robert Hunt is a free agent. His backup Robert Jones is a restricted free agent.

  3. DT: New DC Anthony Weaver stopped short of saying star DT Christian Wilkins will return, even with the franchise tag available. Wilkins is a tag-and-trade candidate because of Miami's cap issues. It's worth noting Weaver has rose through the ranks specifically as a defensive line coach. Raekwon Davis and Da'Shawn Hand are free agents, too.

  4. EDGE: Jaelen Phillips (achilles) and Bradley Chubb (ACL) are studs when healthy, but their late-season injuries and the potential losses of Emmanuel Ogbah (cut candidate) and free agent Andrew Van Ginkel make this an underrated need.

  5. LB: Jerome Baker and Duke Riley are cut candidates. It's possible Baker is extended to lower his 2024 cap charge. New DC Anthony Weaver is used to prioritizing LB (see: Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen).

  6. FS: DeShon Elliott is a free agent. He and Javon Holland combine for a great safety pairing.

  7. Outside CB: The Dolphins might not have enough cap space to keep Jalen Ramsey ($27M) and Xavien Howard ($25M), making Howard a post June 1st release candidate. New DC Anthony Weaver hinted at moving Ramsey across the secondary at times (read: into the slot), so more outside CB depth could be needed.

22. Philadelphia Eagles

  1. LB: At some point, the bit goes too far. It's a devalued position, but the Eagles complete lack of resources here did cost them games last year and provides easy paths to upgrading the position. Zach Cunningham, Nicholas Morrow, and Shaq Leonard are all free agents. The undersized Nakobe Dean has played 229 snaps in two seasons.

  2. C/OG: The Jason Kelce retirement obviously hurts, but the Eagles have invested in two potential fill-ins: Cam Jurgens and Landon Dickerson. They started at RG and LG this season, so there is positional versatility here. If they fall in love with a new C, then this duo can remain at guard. Dickerson played at C when Kelce missed some time this past season for what it's worth.

  3. Slot WR: The top options are obviously set, but Quez Watkins, Julio Jones, and Olamide Zaccheus are free agents. That's a lot of pressure on A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to beat coverage and stay healthy.

  4. RB: D'Andre Swift, Boston Scott, and Rashaad Penny are a free agents but never expect meaningful allocation into this position from GM Howie Roseman. The 3rd-5th round tier in the draft could be a spot to venture into.

  5. Slot CB: Bradley Roby is a free agent, and Eli Ricks was picked on. Avonte Maddox missed a lot of time last year, then struggled in his return.

  6. FS: It's unclear if 2023 3rd-round athletic freak Sydney Brown is ready to fill in for free agent Kevin Byard.

  7. EDGE: Haason Reddick is in a contract year and wants to sign a long-term deal, hopefully with Philly per reports. His name popped up in trade talks, so this is a just in case placeholder. Josh Sweat, Brandon Graham, and Nolan Smith are still around.

23. Houston Texans

  1. Outside CB: Three of the top-four outside CBs in snaps are not under contract, and the Texans were 20th in passing EPA allowed.

  2. Slot CB: Desmond King and Tavierre Thomas are both free agents.

  3. TE: Dalton Schultz is a free agent.

  4. RB: Devin Singletary is a free agent.

  5. SS: DeAndre Houston-Carson, Eric Murray, and Adrian Amos are free agents, and box safety Jimmie Ward is a 33-year-old in the final year of his deal. Jalen Pitre needs a stable sidekick.

  6. OL: If everyone is healthy, I think the starting lineup from left to right would be Tunsil-Green-Scruggs-Mason-Howard, but it was a wild rotation last year. It's unclear how much faith the staff has in 2022 1st-round LG Kenyon Green after not playing last year. It's also unclear if they want 2023 2nd-rounder Juice Scruggs at C after not playing any snaps there last year. If they want to keep veteran Tytus Howard at LG, then RT is a need with both George Fant and Josh Jones hitting free agency. Long story short, the Texans can't finish 29th in short-yardage success rate.

  7. Slot WR: Robert Woods is a 32-year-old fringe starter, Noah Brown is a free agent, and it doesn't seem like John Metchie is a difference maker either.

24. Dallas Cowboys

  1. CB: 34-year-old outside veteran Stephon Gilmore is a free agent, as is slot CB Jourdan Lewis. DaRon Bland can play inside or outside next to Trevon Diggs (ACL). The third corner is up for grabs, especially if we consider SS Jayron Kearse as a semi slot player.

  2. LT or LG: 34-year-old Tyron Smith is a free agent and his primary backup Chuma Edoga is also a free agent. Stud LG Tyler Smith was drafted to be Tyron's eventual replacement, but we'll see where they want to play him.

  3. C: Tyler Biadasz is a free agent.

  4. RB: Tony Pollard is a free agent.

  5. LB: Markquese Bell started but is only 205 pounds, leading to some run defense issues. Leighton Vander Esch can't be trusted anymore unfortunately.

  6. DT: Johnathan Hankins and Neville Gallimore are free agents, but they have 2023 1st-rounder Mazi Smith in-waiting.

25. Green Bay Packers

  1. FS: Darnell Savage, Jonathan Owens, and Rudy Ford are free agents.

  2. Slot CB: Keisean Nixon is a free agent.

  3. RG: Jon Runyan is a free agent.

  4. Outside CB: Carrington Valentine was a 7th-round rookie starter next to Jaire Alexander, meanwhile Corey Ballentine is a free agent. We'll see how much faith the staff has in 2021 1st-rounder Eric Stokes after multiple injured seasons.

  5. DT: The entire rotation is back under contract, but the Packers were 21st against the run last year. Maybe a new DC is the key.

  6. LT: Rasheed Walker came out of nowhere as a 7th-rounder and played fairly well. It'd be a luxury to find an upgrade over him, but it's possible.

  7. RB: A.J. Dillon is a free agent and 30-year-old Aaron Jones is in the final year of his deal.

26. Tampa Bay Bucs

  1. QB: Baker Mayfield is a free agent.

  2. Outside WR: Mike Evans is a free agent and new OC Liam Coen believes Chris Godwin should play more slot, leaving the outside WR room needing help.

  3. LB: 34-year-old future Hall of Famer LaVonte David and Devin White are free agents.

  4. OG: LG Aaron Stinnie is a free agent, and 2023 2nd-rounder RG Cody Mauch was bad as a rookie.

  5. FS: Antoine Winfield Jr. will be extended or hit with the franchise tag, but his safety running mate is up in the air. Ryan Neal is a free agent and restricted free agent Dee Delaney is a fringe starter.

  6. C: Robert Hainsey has been just okay as Ryan Jensen's replacement, but the Bucs were 26th in short-yardage success rate last year and 22nd in ESPN's Pass Block Win Rate despite having star LT Tristan Wirfs. It was an interior issue.

  7. DT: Vita Vea and Calijah Kancey are unique pieces, but William Gholston and Greg Gaines are free agent depth pieces.

  8. Power RB: Rachaad White is a difference maker as a pass-catcher, but Tampa was 29th in rushing EPA, struggling in both explosive runs and short yardage. Finding some size to relieve White is a must.

27. Arizona Cardinals

28. Buffalo Bills

  1. EDGE(s): 35-year-old Von Miller has issues, and A.J. Epenesa, Leonard Floyd, and Shaq Lawson are free agents. Buffalo has had an edge rotation for years but haven't hit a home run in a long time. Keep swinging.

  2. DT(s): Jordan Phillips, DaQuan Jones, Tim Settle, Poona Ford, and Linval Joseph are free agents, leaving Ed Oliver by himself currently. This unit needs size in particular.

  3. Vertical WR: Gabe Davis is a free agent, and Stefon Diggs' production declined late into his age-30 season. With Dalton Kincaid, Dawson Knox, Khalil Shakir, James Cook, and Josh Allen's own scrambling taking over the underneath part of the field, it's time for Buffalo to get serious again down the field. They were only 17th in explosive passes last year despite having the second best QB.

  4. FS: Taylor Rapp, Micah Hyde, and Cam Lewis are free agents, and 33-year-old Jordan Poyer is a cut candidate with the Bills' cap situation in a tough spot.

  5. Power RB: Latavius Murray and Damien Harris are free agents, while James Cook seems maxed out at about 16 touches per game.

29. Detroit Lions

  1. Outside CB: The Lions were 25th in passing EPA allowed.

  2. EDGE: Romeo Okwara and Charles Harris are free agents. Even with Aidan Hutchinson playing like a Pro Bowler, Detroit was 26th in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate.

  3. LG: Jonah Jackson is a free agent.

  4. RG: Halapoulivaati Vaitai and Graham Glasgow are free agents.

  5. DT: Benito Jones and Tyson Alualu are free agents. Alim McNeil needs a complementary A-gap stuffer inside.

  6. X WR: Josh Reynolds is a free agent. Target volume isn't a big concern here with the slot, TE, and RBs soaking up larger-than-normal looks, but this group needs size and blocking ability.

30. Baltimore Ravens

  1. EDGE: Jadeveon Clowney and Kyle Van Noy are free agents. Their absence would put a lot of pressure on Odafe Oweh.

  2. RG: Long-time starter Kevin Zeitler is a free agent.

  3. LG: John Simpson is a free agent.

  4. LB: Patrick Queen is a free agent. His backup Del'Shawn Phillips is also gone.

  5. Power RB: Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins are free agents, and Keaton Mitchell is a low-volume speedster coming off a very serious, late-season injury. Justice Hill is a nice passing-down option for now.

  6. FS: Geno Stone is a free agent. They were able to do a lot of things with the trio of Stone, Kyle Hamilton, and Marcus Williams last year.

  7. Size/Speed WR: Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, and Nelson Agholor are under contract, but they have a mediocre ceiling as a trio with Odell Beckham hitting free agency. Lamar Jackson has enough weapons underneath and in the designed-touch game, but this team has missed a reliable size/speed player on the outside.

  8. CB Depth: Ronald Darby, Rock Ya-Sin, and Arthur Maulet are free agents. They mixed in behind Marlon Humphrey and Brandon Stephens.

31. San Francisco 49ers

  1. RG: 2022 4th-rounder Spencer Burford has struggled each season.

  2. RT: 2020 5th-rounder Colton McKivitz was a liability at times.

  3. EDGE: Chase Young and Clelin Ferrell are free agents. We'll see if 2022 2nd-rounder Drake Jackson is ready for more meaningful snaps next to Nick Bosa.

  4. CB: The primary outside CBs all return, but there is room for improvement over Ambry Thomas and Deommodore Lenoir, especially with Charvarius Ward in the final year of his contract.

  5. LB: Dre Greenlaw tearing his achilles running onto the Super Bowl field was as depressing as it gets, and it's unlikely he'll be the same in 2024. His backup Oren Burks is a free agent.

32. Kansas City Chiefs

  1. OT: 31-year-old LT Donovan Smith is a free agent. Jawaan Taylor played RT last year but can kick back to LT potentially.

  2. DT: Super star Chris Jones can be franchise tagged if they can't agree on a long-term extension, something both parties want. Derrick Nnadi, Tershawn Wharton, and Super Bowl stud Mike Pennel are free agents. The Chiefs were 28th in rushing EPA allowed during the regular season.

  3. WRs: Rashee Rice is a yards-after-catch merchant without evidence of being a true No. 1 or downfield threat. Marquez Valdes-Scantling is a cut candidate, leaving Justin Watson as the top deep target. That's obviously not good enough. Size and speed need to be priorities here, with Skyy Moore providing depth in the underneath game. Mecole Hardman and Richie James are free agents. Kadarius Toney is likely released after being healthy scratched in the Super Bowl. I dare GM Brett Veach to get Brian Thomas Jr. via a trade up. Double dog dare.

  4. LB: Willie Gay and Drue Tranquill are free agents, leaving just Nick Bolton as a true off-ball type. Leo Chenal returns but plays next to the line of scrimmage often.

  5. RB: Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Jerick McKinnon are free agents, and while Isiah Pacheco can eat touches and fight for yards, he's not a complete back. There's room for competition in both phases.

  6. FS: Mike Edwards is a free agent, but both Justin Reid and Bryan Cook return.

  7. CB: L'Jarius Sneed is technically a free agent, but he's way too good to leave, especially with the franchise tag available. This is a place holder only.

33. Carolina Panthers

  1. Outside WR: 34-year-old Adam Thielen has $9M this year and another $5M guaranteed in 2025, so he'll have a starting spot in the slot. 2023 2nd-rounder Jonathan Mingo didn't do much as a rookie, but without D.J. Chark on the roster, he'll probably be a 3-WR set starter early on. This team needs a true X receiver that can work downfield.

  2. LG: It was so bad.

  3. RG: It was also so bad.

  4. EDGE: Brian Burns is a tag-and-trade candidate if they can't agree to a long-term deal. We'll see what happens there shortly. Yetur Gross-Matos is a free agent, too.

  5. LB: Frankie Luvu, Kamu Grugier-Hill, and Deion Jones are free agents. This defense was 32nd in rushing EPA allowed with all three on the roster last year.

  6. Slot CB: Troy Hill is a free agent, as is Jeremy Chinn who can play safety and nickel.

  7. DT: DeShawn Williams is a free agent. He played next to star Derrick Brown.

  8. Outside CB: CJ Henderson is a free agent, and Jaycee Horn has been plagued by a hamstring injury to date. Horn and Donte Jackson are a fearsome duo when healthy.

58. Cleveland Browns

  1. LB: Anthony Walker and Sione Takitaki are free agents. Speedster Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah needs a thumper next to him for run defense.

  2. DT: Jordan Elliott, Shelby Harris, and Maurice Hurst are free agents. With all of them, the Browns were just 15th in rushing EPA allowed.

  3. WR: 30-year-old Amari Cooper is in the final year of his deal, and even though Elijah Moore, Cedric Tillman, and David Bell were Day 2 tries at solving the secondary targets, none have them have moved the needle to date.